Big 12 projection, Round 17

The last couple of postings in this series contained a typographical error in
the number of conference losses for Arizona State.  Now fixed.

                      Init   Rd 1   Rd 2   Rd 3   Rd 4   Rd 5   Rd 6   Rd 7   Rd 8   Rd 9   Rd10   Rd11 
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj 
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins 
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
#  3  Houston        15.529 15.675 16.158 16.213 16.488 16.705 16.689 16.887 17.520 17.863 16.963 16.847
# 12  Arizona        11.682 11.856 12.809 13.845 13.643 14.177 13.642 13.650 13.618 14.307 14.807 15.479
#  7  Texas Tech     12.489 10.936 11.993 12.588 12.255 12.474 13.123 13.796 13.721 13.814 14.820 15.195
# 13  Iowa State     15.527 15.922 16.101 16.163 16.683 17.183 16.108 16.172 16.440 15.670 14.216 13.644
# 27  BYU             9.908 10.807 10.166  9.528  8.877  9.035  8.666  9.514 10.295 10.739 11.282 10.600
# 20  Kansas         13.280 11.900 13.337 13.629 14.372 13.841 13.807 14.161 13.509 13.479 12.823 13.344
# 30  Baylor         11.852 12.436 11.677 12.383 12.769 12.302 10.882 10.916 11.497 11.107 11.740 11.406
# 50  West Virginia   9.149 10.353 11.156 10.165 10.781 10.621 11.562 10.539  9.735  9.397 10.283  9.708
# 85  TCU             7.192  7.110  7.448  7.335  7.939  7.054  8.330  8.051  7.428  7.399  7.712  8.289
# 53  Cincinnati     12.499 11.444 10.583  9.656  8.667  9.145  9.251  8.672  7.847  7.294  6.371  7.179
# 67  Kansas State    5.716  6.783  6.354  5.479  4.914  4.770  4.983  4.894  5.725  6.257  7.893  8.652
# 81  Utah            7.832  7.142  5.920  5.941  6.928  7.882  8.373  8.134  7.576  8.135  7.421  7.831
# 77  UCF             7.011  8.555  7.465  7.835  7.987  8.931  9.030  9.021  9.840  9.950  9.284  8.496
#100  Oklahoma State  5.058  4.818  4.500  5.277  4.673  4.410  5.013  4.683  4.744  4.207  5.011  5.131
# 59  Arizona State   8.559  7.734  8.538  8.310  7.960  6.885  6.643  7.746  7.406  7.810  7.188  6.395
# 92  Colorado        6.716  6.530  5.796  5.654  5.064  4.585  3.898  3.164  3.099  2.572  2.186  1.806

                      Rd12   Rd13   Rd14   Rd15   Rd16   Rd17   Rd17   
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Conf.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game and Prediction
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  -----  ------------------------
#  3  Houston        16.884 17.067 17.533 17.777 17.985 18.448 18.478  16  1  Sat  UC  70-54
# 12  Arizona        15.952 15.150 14.758 15.353 14.604 14.693 14.684  13  4  Sat @ISU 76-79
#  7  Texas Tech     14.772 14.849 15.181 14.392 14.563 14.100 14.099  12  5  Sat @KU  72-73
# 13  Iowa State     13.806 14.088 14.220 14.183 13.975 13.131 13.054  11  6  Sat  UA  79-76
# 27  BYU             9.884 10.551 10.910 11.628 12.377 12.816 12.880  11  6  Sat  WVU 73-66
# 20  Kansas         12.553 12.565 11.638 10.933 11.000 11.239 11.254  10  7  Sat  TTU 73-72
# 30  Baylor         11.625 11.488 11.676 11.085 10.381  9.856  9.835   8  9  Sat  OSU 84-71
# 50  West Virginia  10.070  9.420  9.149  9.462  9.291  9.539  9.522   8  9  Sat @BYU 66-73
# 85  TCU             8.057  8.274  9.076  9.937  9.675  9.427  9.373   8  9  Sat  UCF 77-74
# 53  Cincinnati      7.772  8.041  7.910  7.585  7.847  8.338  8.382   7 10  Sat @UH  54-70
# 67  Kansas State    9.569 10.296  9.927  9.473  8.831  8.414  8.331   7 10  Sun  CU  74-67
# 81  Utah            7.563  7.302  8.251  8.702  8.326  8.236  8.185   7 10  Sat  ASU 75-74
# 77  UCF             8.119  7.833  7.185  6.556  6.932  7.349  7.390   6 11  Sat @TCU 74-77
#100  Oklahoma State  5.847  5.597  5.372  5.947  5.880  6.703  6.759   6 11  Sat @BU  71-84
# 59  Arizona State   5.766  5.717  4.842  4.606  5.248  4.809  4.866   4 13  Sat @UU  74-75
# 92  Colorado        1.759  1.760  2.375  2.381  3.085  2.846  2.907   2 15  Sun @KSU 67-74

Will all 16 conference members achieve a strength of schedule of 10 or greater?  Texas Tech
will surely pass that threshold with a road game at Kansas.

Rank  Big XII Team   Sched.
----  -------------- ------
#  4  Baylor         +15.58
#  9  Arizona State  +14.64
# 11  Arizona        +14.26
# 16  Kansas         +13.59
# 17  TCU            +13.32
# 18  West Virginia  +13.06
# 24  Kansas State   +12.49
# 27  Houston        +12.40
# 30  Colorado       +12.22
# 35  UCF            +11.72
# 42  Oklahoma State +10.98
# 43  Iowa State     +10.94
# 48  Cincinnati     +10.08
# 50  Utah            +9.95
# 54  Texas Tech      +9.54
# 55  BYU             +9.43

No road wins are projected for Round 18:

Road wins (51 out of 136)                         Home losses                                     RW-HL
------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------- -------
9 Houston      OSU KSU UCF KU  WVU CU  UA ASU TTU 1 Houston      TTU                             +8 UH 
6 Arizona      UC  WVU OSU ASU BYU BU             1 Iowa St.     KSU                             +4 UA 
6 Texas Tech   UU  BYU KSU UC  UH  OSU            2 Arizona      UH  BYU                         +3 TTU
5 BYU          CU  UCF WVU UA  ASU                2 Baylor       TCU AU                          +3 ISU
4 Iowa St.     CU  TTU ASU UCF                    2 BYU          TTU UA                          +3 BYU
4 Kansas       UCF UC  TCU CU                     2 Kansas       WVU UH                          +2 KU
3 Arizona St.  WVU CU  KSU                        2 TCU          UU  KU                           0 BU
3 W. Virginia  KU  CU  UC                         2 Utah         TTU BU                           0 TCU
2 Baylor       ASU UU                             3 Kansas St.   UH  TTU ASU                      0 WVU
2 UCF          TTU ASU                            3 Oklahoma St. UH  UA  TTU                     -1 KSU
2 Cincinnati   CU  UCF                            3 Texas Tech   UCF ISU UH                      -1 UU
2 Kansas St.   ISU ASU                            4 Cincinnati   UA  KU  TTU WVU                 -2 UC 
2 TCU          BU  ASU                            4 W. Virginia  UA  ASU UH  BYU                 -3 OSU
1 Utah         TCU                                5 UCF          KU  UH  BYU UC  ISU             -3 UCF
0 Colorado                                        7 Colorado     ISU WVU UC  BYU ASU UH  KU      -6 ASU
0 Oklahoma St.                                    8 Arizona St.  BU  UCF ISU UA  KSU TCU UH  BYU -7 CU