Big 12 projection, Round 11

                      Init   Rd 1   Rd 2   Rd 3   Rd 4   Rd 5   Rd 6   Rd 7   Rd 8   Rd 9   Rd10 
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj 
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins 
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
#  3  Houston        15.529 15.675 16.158 16.213 16.488 16.705 16.689 16.887 17.520 17.863 16.963
# 11  Arizona        11.682 11.856 12.809 13.845 13.643 14.177 13.642 13.650 13.618 14.307 14.807
#  8  Texas Tech     12.489 10.936 11.993 12.588 12.255 12.474 13.123 13.796 13.721 13.814 14.820
# 10  Iowa State     15.527 15.922 16.101 16.163 16.683 17.183 16.108 16.172 16.440 15.670 14.216
#  9  Kansas         13.280 11.900 13.337 13.629 14.372 13.841 13.807 14.161 13.509 13.479 12.823
# 26  Baylor         11.852 12.436 11.677 12.383 12.769 12.302 10.882 10.916 11.497 11.107 11.740
# 33  BYU             9.908 10.807 10.166  9.528  8.877  9.035  8.666  9.514 10.295 10.739 11.282
# 47  West Virginia   9.149 10.353 11.156 10.165 10.781 10.621 11.562 10.539  9.735  9.397 10.283
# 64  Kansas State    5.716  6.783  6.354  5.479  4.914  4.770  4.983  4.894  5.725  6.257  7.893
# 62  UCF             7.011  8.555  7.465  7.835  7.987  8.931  9.030  9.021  9.840  9.950  9.284
# 79  TCU             7.192  7.110  7.448  7.335  7.939  7.054  8.330  8.051  7.428  7.399  7.712
# 85  Utah            7.832  7.142  5.920  5.941  6.928  7.882  8.373  8.134  7.576  8.135  7.421
# 55  Cincinnati     12.499 11.444 10.583  9.656  8.667  9.145  9.251  8.672  7.847  7.294  6.371
# 58  Arizona State   8.559  7.734  8.538  8.310  7.960  6.885  6.643  7.746  7.406  7.810  7.188
#107  Oklahoma State  5.058  4.818  4.500  5.277  4.673  4.410  5.013  4.683  4.744  4.207  5.011
#104  Colorado        6.716  6.530  5.796  5.654  5.064  4.585  3.898  3.164  3.099  2.572  2.186

                      Rd11   Rd11   
                      Proj   Proj   Conf.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game and Prediction
----  -------------- ------ ------  -----  ------------------------
#  3  Houston        16.978 16.847  10  1  Sat @CU  70-56 road win
# 11  Arizona        15.306 15.479  10  1  Sat  TTU 76-73
#  8  Texas Tech     15.097 15.195   9  2  Sat @UA  73-76
# 10  Iowa State     13.813 13.644   7  4  Sat  TCU 75-61
#  9  Kansas         13.226 13.344   7  4  Sat @KSU 73-67 road win
# 26  Baylor         11.463 11.406   6  5  Sat  UCF 83-73
# 33  BYU            10.783 10.600   6  5  Sat @UC  67-68
# 47  West Virginia   9.762  9.708   5  6  Sat  UU  70-63
# 64  Kansas State    8.562  8.652   5  6  Sat  KU  67-73 home loss
# 62  UCF             8.642  8.496   4  7  Sat @BU  73-83
# 79  TCU             8.233  8.289   5  6  Sat @ISU 61-75
# 85  Utah            7.721  7.831   5  6  Sat @WVU 63-70
# 55  Cincinnati      7.013  7.179   3  8  Sat  BYU 68-67
# 58  Arizona State   6.519  6.395   3  8  Sun @OSU 73-71 road win
#107  Oklahoma State  4.996  5.131   3  8  Sun  ASU 71-73 home loss
#104  Colorado        1.886  1.806   0 11  Sat  UH  56-70 home loss

I was right about Kansas moving ahead of Arizona State in strength of schedule,
but I failed to take into account that Baylor was playing at Texas Tech, and that
was enough for Baylor to leapfrog both Arizona State and Kansas back into the
top spot.  It's not clear whether Kansas playing a road game over #64 will be
enough to leapfrog Baylor, who is playing a home game over #62.

Rank  Big XII Team   Sched.
----  -------------- ------
#  3  Baylor         +13.92
#  6  Kansas         +13.50
#  9  Arizona State  +12.72
# 13  Arizona        +11.85
# 14  West Virginia  +11.63
# 20  UCF            +10.58
# 22  TCU            +10.42
# 26  Iowa State     +10.03
# 30  Kansas State    +9.68
# 35  Houston         +9.06
# 43  Colorado        +8.34
# 44  Oklahoma State  +8.23
# 51  Cincinnati      +7.90
# 60  Texas Tech      +6.40
# 67  BYU             +5.51
# 70  Utah            +5.28

Road wins (38 out of  88)                    Home losses                                   RW-HL
-------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- -------
5 Arizona        UC  WVU OSU ASU BYU         0 Arizona                                    +5 UA 
5 Houston        OSU KSU UCF KU  WVU         1 Houston        TTU                         +4 UH 
5 Texas Tech     UU  BYU KSU UC  UH          1 Iowa State     KSU                         +3 TTU
3 Iowa State     CU  TTU ASU                 1 Baylor         TCU                         +2 ISU
3 Kansas         UCF UC  TCU                 2 BYU            TTU UA                      +1 BU
3 West Virginia  KU  CU  UC                  2 Kansas         WVU UH                      +1 KU
2 Arizona State  WVU CU                      2 Kansas State   UH  TTU                     +1 WVU
2 Baylor         ASU UU                      2 Oklahoma State UH  UA                       0 BYU
2 BYU            CU  UCF                     2 TCU            UU  KU                       0 KSU
2 UCF            TTU ASU                     2 Texas Tech     UCF ISU                     -1 TCU
2 Cincinnati     CU  UCF                     2 Utah           TTU BU                      -1 UU
2 Kansas State   ISU ASU                     3 West Virginia  UA  ASU UH                  -2 UCF
1 TCU            BU                          4 UCF            KU  UH  BYU UC              -2 UC 
1 Utah           TCU                         4 Cincinnati     UA  KU  TTU WVU             -2 OSU
0 Colorado                                   5 Arizona State  BU  UCF ISU UA  KSU         -4 ASU
0 Oklahoma State                             5 Colorado       ISU WVU UC  BYU ASU         -5 CU