×
Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
predictions for TCU game
- asteroid
-
Topic Author
- Offline
- Platinum Member
-
Less
More
- Posts: 653
- Thank you received: 3457
2 months 3 weeks ago #33432
by asteroid
Why is it that every time we play TCU in Fort Worth, I'm thinking about
the Topeka YMCA? Don't want to see a repeat of that incident. Well,
I've been up all night chasing -- you guessed it -- asteroids, so I'm
going to skip the usual commentary and get some sleep before tip-off.
Rock Chalk!
Greenfield Stats Comparison
===========================
Offensive Stats TCU KU Defensive Stats TCU KU
Points/Game 70.4 76.5 Opp Points/Game 66.5 63.5
Avg Score Margin +3.9 +13.0 Opp Effective FG % 48.7 43.4
Assists/Game 12.8 18.0 Off Rebounds/Gm 9.2 9.2
Total Rebounds/Gm 33.5 39.2 Def Rebounds/Gm 21.6 26.4
Effective FG % 49.3 53.2 Blocks/Game 3.5 5.1
Off Rebound % 29.9 28.9 Steals/Game 7.3 6.6
FTA/FGA 0.338 0.208 Personal Fouls/Gm 14.6 13.8
Turnover % 13.7 13.2
My Stats Comparison KU KSU
=================== ============= ============
performance +2.10 +1.71
inconsistency 13.96 10.30
trend +0.22 ± 0.71 -0.18 ± 0.52
mental toughness -0.12 ± 0.35 -0.30 ± 0.22
average total pts 139.94 136.88
Common Opponents
================
There is one common opponent, from conference play:
KU +10 KSU at home ( +6 neutral court)
TCU +1 KSU at home ( -3 neutral court)
KU +5 TCU on road ( +9 neutral court)
Players to Watch
================
most minutes Frankie Collins (guard)
most points Noah Reynolds (guard)
most rebounds Ernest Udeh Jr. (center)
most assists Frankie Collins (guard)
most steals Frankie Collins (guard)
most blocks Ernest Udeh Jr. (center)
most turnovers Frankie Collins (guard)
most fouls Ernest Udeh Jr. (center)
Frankie Collins appears four times in the list above, but he is out with a
broken foot, and has been for a while.
Interesting that Greenfield lists KJ, Zach, Noah, and Jamari as out with
injuries or redshirts, but not a peep about Elmarko.
13-4 10-7
Margin Predicted Win Prb Kansas TCU
Predictor points Score percent Rating SOS Rating SOS
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============ ============
Massey +4.00 71 67 63 # 12 # 7 # 60 # 24
Pomeroy +7.14 70 63 75.0 # 8 # 11 # 75 # 28
Greenfield +6.50 71.5 65 # 9 # 4 # 62 # 43
Dunkel -1.00 66 67 # 20 # 91
Vegas (via Dunkel) +6.50 71 65
Dolphin Predictive +5.50 69 64 69.0 # 9 # 6 # 60 # 42
Seven Overtimes +4.00 71 67 68 # 14 # 7 #114 # 47
DPPI +5.60 72 66 66.3 # 9 # 4 # 65 # 29
ESPN BPI +5.60 71.1 # 7 # 8 # 56 # 21
Whitlock +5.72 # 10 # 6 # 71 # 22
Colley Matrix +6.00 # 12 # 4 # 84 # 36
Donchess +6.00 75 69 70.3 # 10 # 6 # 69 # 31
Haslametrics +7.55 70 62 # 8 # 58
INCCStats +8.00 73 65 77 # 7 # 63
common opponents +5.00
NCAA NET # 9 # 73
LRMC # # # #
Massey composite # 10 # 71
Pomeroy offense # 34 #156
Pomeroy defense # 4 # 30
Pomeroy tempo #152 #229
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============ ============
average +5.47 70.9 65.5 70.0
scatter 2.12 2.3 2.0 4.5
Here is Kansas' season, for which the projected record is currently 23-8:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
HOME #289 Howard 87 57 +29.40 +0.60
HOME # 34 North Carolina 92 89 +9.73 -6.73
NEUT # 14 Michigan St. 77 69 +1.85 +6.15
HOME #179 Oakland 78 57 +21.02 -0.02
HOME #134 UNC Wilmington 84 66 +19.80 -1.80
NEUT # 1 Duke 75 72 -6.28 +9.28
HOME #148 Furman 86 51 +20.15 +14.85
AWAY # 32 Creighton 63 76 +2.38 -15.38
AWAY # 30 Missouri 67 76 +2.03 -11.03
HOME # 97 N.C. State 75 60 +16.47 -1.47
HOME #214 Brown 87 53 +23.82 +10.18
HOME # 43 West Virginia 61 62 +10.51 -11.51
AWAY # 71 UCF 99 48 +7.61 +43.39
HOME # 57 Arizona St. 74 55 +12.29 +6.71
AWAY # 44 Cincinnati 54 40 +3.63 +10.37
AWAY # 4 Iowa St. 57 74 -6.08 -10.92
HOME # 96 Kansas St. 84 74 +17.05 -7.05
AWAY # 75 TCU 70 63 +7.14 0.750
HOME # 3 Houston 63 64 -0.50 0.481
HOME # 71 UCF 83 69 +14.61 0.916
AWAY # 25 Baylor 71 70 +0.74 0.528
HOME # 4 Iowa St. 74 73 +0.92 0.535
AWAY # 96 Kansas St. 76 66 +10.05 0.829
HOME # 98 Colorado 79 61 +17.46 0.951
AWAY # 74 Utah 77 69 +7.68 0.766
AWAY # 38 BYU 73 70 +2.85 0.606
HOME #112 Oklahoma St. 83 63 +19.57 0.968
AWAY # 98 Colorado 75 65 +10.46 0.839
HOME # 11 Texas Tech 73 69 +4.48 0.664
AWAY # 3 Houston 60 67 -7.50 0.239
HOME # 16 Arizona 77 72 +5.81 0.708
Here is TCU's season:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
HOME #352 Florida A&M 105 59 +23.90 +22.10
HOME #159 Florida Gulf Coast 67 51 +10.23 +5.77
HOME #158 Texas St. 76 71 +10.21 -5.21
AWAY # 12 Michigan 64 76 -12.82 +0.82
HOME #330 Alcorn St. 71 48 +20.43 +2.57
NEUT # 64 Santa Clara 52 69 -0.94 -16.06
NEUT # 80 Colorado St. 72 76 +0.26 -4.26
HOME # 47 Xavier 76 72 +0.42 +3.58
NEUT # 48 Vanderbilt 74 83 -3.10 -5.90
HOME #106 South Alabama 58 49 +7.57 +1.43
HOME #178 Montana St. 82 48 +11.41 +22.59
AWAY # 16 Arizona 81 90 -12.16 +3.16
HOME # 96 Kansas St. 63 62 +6.25 -5.25
AWAY # 3 Houston 46 65 -16.96 -2.04
HOME # 38 BYU 71 67 -0.73 +4.73
HOME # 74 Utah 65 73 +3.50 -11.50
AWAY # 25 Baylor 74 71 -9.54 +12.54
HOME # 8 Kansas 63 70 -7.14 0.250
AWAY # 71 UCF 71 75 -3.78 0.361
AWAY # 11 Texas Tech 62 74 -12.72 0.115
HOME # 98 Colorado 71 64 +6.49 0.730
HOME # 43 West Virginia 63 62 +0.31 0.512
AWAY # 4 Iowa St. 62 79 -16.88 0.055
HOME #112 Oklahoma St. 74 66 +8.18 0.780
AWAY # 57 Arizona St. 64 69 -5.48 0.302
HOME # 11 Texas Tech 65 71 -5.72 0.294
AWAY # 44 Cincinnati 59 66 -6.75 0.262
AWAY # 43 West Virginia 59 66 -6.69 0.264
HOME # 71 UCF 75 72 +3.22 0.620
HOME # 25 Baylor 67 69 -2.54 0.405
AWAY # 98 Colorado 67 68 -0.51 0.481
The following user(s) said Thank You: sasnak, hairyhawk, Socalhawk, porthawk, USAF Jayhawk, jaythawk1
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
Share this page:
- NotOstertag
-
- Offline
- Platinum Member
-
Less
More
- Posts: 2001
- Thank you received: 2266
2 months 3 weeks ago #33433
by NotOstertag
"When I was a freshman, I remember Coach Naismith telling us how important it was to play good defense." - Mitch Lightfoot
Get some rest Asteroid. Hopefully it will rest your eyes enough that you won't get the combo of eyestrain/motion sickness I get from looking at the aggressively fugly court that TCU tortures viewers with. Maybe i can change the settings on my TV to view it in grainy black and white to improve the aesthetics. 
"When I was a freshman, I remember Coach Naismith telling us how important it was to play good defense." - Mitch Lightfoot
The following user(s) said Thank You: Bayhawk
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.