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Big 12 projection, Round 6

  • asteroid
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2 months 3 weeks ago #33426 by asteroid
                      Init   Rd 1   Rd 2   Rd 3   Rd 4   Rd 5   Rd 6   Rd 6   
                      Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Proj   Conf.
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Wins   Recrd  Next Game and Prediction
----  -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------  -----  ------------------------
#  3  Houston        15.529 15.675 16.158 16.213 16.488 16.705 16.837 16.689   6  0  Tue  UU  75-58
#  4  Iowa State     15.527 15.922 16.101 16.163 16.683 17.183 16.441 16.108   5  1  Tue  UCF 87-70
#  7  Kansas         13.280 11.900 13.337 13.629 14.372 13.841 13.885 13.807   4  2  Wed @TCU 70-63 road win
# 16  Arizona        11.682 11.856 12.809 13.845 13.643 14.177 13.787 13.642   5  1  Tue @OSU 82-72 road win
# 12  Texas Tech     12.489 10.936 11.993 12.588 12.255 12.474 12.864 13.123   4  2  Tue @UC  65-64 road win
# 36  West Virginia   9.149 10.353 11.156 10.165 10.781 10.621 11.363 11.562   4  2  Tue  ASU 69-62
# 24  Baylor         11.852 12.436 11.677 12.383 12.769 12.302 11.436 10.882   3  3  Wed  KSU 77-65
# 40  Cincinnati     12.499 11.444 10.583  9.656  8.667  9.145  9.414  9.251   2  4  Tue  TTU 64-65 home loss
# 69  UCF             7.011  8.555  7.465  7.835  7.987  8.931  8.799  9.030   3  3  Tue @ISU 70-87
# 44  BYU             9.908 10.807 10.166  9.528  8.877  9.035  8.535  8.666   2  4  Tue @CU  73-71 road win
# 73  Utah            7.832  7.142  5.920  5.941  6.928  7.882  8.382  8.373   3  3  Tue @UH  58-75
# 75  TCU             7.192  7.110  7.448  7.335  7.939  7.054  7.920  8.330   3  3  Wed  KU  61-70 home loss
# 61  Arizona State   8.559  7.734  8.538  8.310  7.960  6.885  6.616  6.643   1  5  Tue @WVU 62-69
#105  Oklahoma State  5.058  4.818  4.500  5.277  4.673  4.410  4.899  5.013   2  4  Tue  UA  72-82 home loss
# 96  Kansas State    5.716  6.783  6.354  5.479  4.914  4.770  4.726  4.983   1  5  Wed @BU  65-77
# 92  Colorado        6.716  6.530  5.796  5.654  5.064  4.585  4.096  3.898   0  6  Tue  BYU 71-73 home loss

It took six conference games to get everybody into plus territory in strength of schedule.

Rank  Big XII Team   Sched.
----  -------------- ------
#  4  Baylor         +11.55
#  8  Kansas         +10.92
# 11  Arizona State  +10.73
# 13  Arizona        +10.32
# 19  West Virginia   +9.04
# 29  TCU             +7.83
# 32  UCF             +7.36
# 34  Iowa State      +7.29
# 35  Kansas State    +7.01
# 45  Houston         +6.29
# 49  Colorado        +5.88
# 75  Oklahoma State  +3.85
# 77  Cincinnati      +3.77
# 87  Texas Tech      +2.93
#130  Utah            +1.32
#133  BYU             +1.09

With four road wins projected for Round 7, we could find ourselves well ahead
of the long-term one-in-three rate.

Road wins (20 out of  48)                    Home losses                                   RW-HL
-------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- -------
3 Texas Tech     UU  BYU KSU                 0 Arizona                                    +3 UH
3 Houston        OSU KSU UCF                 0 Houston                                    +2 UA 
2 Arizona        UC  WVU                     0 Iowa State                                 +2 ISU
2 Iowa State     CU  TTU                     1 Baylor         TCU                         +1 KU
2 Kansas         UCF UC                      1 BYU            TTU                         +1 TTU
2 UCF            TTU ASU                     1 Kansas         WVU                         +1 WVU
2 West Virginia  KU  CU                      1 Oklahoma State UH                           0 BU
1 Baylor         ASU                         1 TCU            UU                           0 TCU
1 Cincinnati     CU                          1 Utah           TTU                          0 UCF
1 TCU            BU                          1 West Virginia  UA                           0 UU
1 Utah           TCU                         2 Arizona State  BU  UCF                     -1 BYU
0 Arizona State                              2 Cincinnati     UA  KU                      -1 UC 
0 BYU                                        2 Kansas State   UH  TTU                     -1 OSU
0 Colorado                                   2 Texas Tech     UCF ISU                     -2 ASU
0 Kansas State                               2 UCF            KU  UH                      -2 KSU
0 Oklahoma State                             3 Colorado       ISU WVU UC                  -3 CU
The following user(s) said Thank You: HawkErrant, hairyhawk, Socalhawk, porthawk, jaythawk1

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