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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
predictions for Brown game
- asteroid
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5 days 3 hours ago #33265
by asteroid
Merry Christmas!
"What can Brown do for you?" (UPS slogan)
Brown started their season losing three of their first four games. The Bears
haven't lost since. Then again, they've only played one top tier team, and
that was in their most recent outing, and they needed double overtime to come
away with a 4 point home victory over Rhode Island. As a result, Brown has a
positive trend of some statistical significance.
Should be an easy game, but the problem with these games is that there is a
tendency to look forward to the Christmas break, and just show up to get this
one out of the way. That's not a good recipe. Yeah, Kansas ought to win the
game, but may very well play below expectation.
Rock Chalk!
Greenfield Stats Comparison
===========================
Offensive Stats B KU Defensive Stats B KU
Points/Game 74.8 78.4 Opp Points/Game 68.0 67.3
Avg Score Margin +6.8 +11.1 Opp Effective FG % 46.1 46.5
Assists/Game 15.1 19.0 Off Rebounds/Gm 9.2 7.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 35.8 37.0 Def Rebounds/Gm 23.7 25.3
Effective FG % 54.2 55.7 Blocks/Game 5.7 4.4
Off Rebound % 30.6 25.8 Steals/Game 6.6 7.2
FTA/FGA 0.307 0.202 Personal Fouls/Gm 15.4 15.7
Turnover % 14.9 13.8
My Stats Comparison KU Brown
=================== ============= ============
performance +0.82 +1.31
inconsistency 9.99 9.21
trend -0.81 ± 1.13 +1.73 ± 0.89
mental toughness -0.21 ± 0.34 +0.28 ± 0.48
average total pts 145.70 142.80
Common Opponents
================
There are no common opponents.
Players to Watch
================
most minutes Kino Lilly Jr. (guard)
most points Kino Lilly Jr. (guard)
most rebounds Aaron Cooley (guard)
most assists Kino Lilly Jr. (guard)
most steals Jeremiah Jenkins (guard)
most blocks Landon Lewis (forward)
most turnovers Kino Lilly Jr. (guard)
most fouls Landon Lewis (forward)
Reserve forward Nana Owusu-Anane is out with a shoulder injury.
8-2 7-3
Margin Predicted Win Prb Kansas Brown
Predictor points Score percent Rating SOS Rating SOS
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============ ============
Massey +22.00 82 60 96 # 14 # 9 #183 #335
Pomeroy +20.22 83 62 97.2 # 10 # 15 #176 #359
Greenfield +24.50 84 60 # 11 # 7 #178 #309
Dunkel +28.00 84 56 # 32 #149
Vegas (via Dunkel) +24.50 84 60
Dolphin Predictive +19.06 80 61 95.0 # 18 # 17 # 82 #324
Real Time # # # #
Seven Overtimes +14.00 79 65 84 # 19 # 10 #159 #333
DPPI +17.70 81.5 64 93.6 # 11 # 16 #202 #359
ESPN BPI +22.50 97.4 # 7 # 10 #152 #354
Whitlock +17.01 # 13 # 10 #182 #278
Colley Matrix +16.65 # 11 # 12 #140 #356
Donchess +24.50 86.7 62.2 98.2 # 21 # 10 #154 #356
Haslametrics +22.07 83 60 # 13 #174
INCCStats +20.00 81 61 97 # 10 #156
common opponents
NCAA NET # 18 #143
LRMC # # # #
Massey composite # 11 #154
Pomeroy offense # 26 #169
Pomeroy defense # 8 #191
Pomeroy tempo #118 #312
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============ ============
average +20.91 82.6 61.0 94.8
scatter 3.82 2.2 2.4 4.6
Here is Kansas' season, for which the projected record is currently 22-9:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
HOME #256 Howard 87 57 +25.24 +4.76
HOME # 29 North Carolina 92 89 +6.46 -3.46
NEUT # 22 Michigan St. 77 69 +1.32 +6.68
HOME #213 Oakland 78 57 +21.62 -0.62
HOME #131 UNC Wilmington 84 66 +18.36 -0.36
NEUT # 2 Duke 75 72 -5.98 +8.98
HOME #116 Furman 86 51 +16.45 +18.55
AWAY # 51 Creighton 63 76 +2.97 -15.97
AWAY # 53 Missouri 67 76 +2.95 -11.95
HOME # 83 N.C. State 75 60 +13.39 +1.61
HOME #176 Brown 83 62 +20.22 0.972
HOME # 45 West Virginia 77 68 +8.80 0.797
AWAY # 73 UCF 79 73 +5.84 0.710
HOME # 57 Arizona St. 80 70 +10.26 0.834
AWAY # 24 Cincinnati 70 72 -1.80 0.432
AWAY # 5 Iowa St. 76 83 -7.59 0.236
HOME # 90 Kansas St. 82 68 +14.21 0.910
AWAY # 88 TCU 75 68 +6.89 0.742
HOME # 4 Houston 68 69 -1.04 0.461
HOME # 73 UCF 83 70 +12.84 0.888
AWAY # 18 Baylor 76 78 -2.28 0.415
HOME # 5 Iowa St. 79 80 -0.59 0.478
AWAY # 90 Kansas St. 79 72 +7.21 0.752
HOME # 76 Colorado 80 67 +12.83 0.887
AWAY # 63 Utah 81 77 +4.69 0.671
AWAY # 41 BYU 79 77 +1.36 0.551
HOME #101 Oklahoma St. 87 71 +15.85 0.933
AWAY # 76 Colorado 77 71 +5.83 0.709
HOME # 13 Texas Tech 78 73 +4.32 0.659
AWAY # 4 Houston 64 72 -8.04 0.224
HOME # 21 Arizona 81 76 +4.96 0.680
Here is Brown's season to date:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
AWAY #288 Siena 71 72 +2.03 -3.03
HOME #215 Maine 67 69 +5.52 -7.52
HOME #360 New Hampshire 76 58 +16.30 +1.70
HOME #307 Holy Cross 65 73 +10.23 -18.23
HOME #275 Sacred Heart 89 70 +8.84 +10.16
AWAY #357 Canisius 83 76 +8.22 -1.22
HOME #312 Stony Brook 77 54 +10.92 +12.08
AWAY #240 Vermont 60 53 -0.55 +7.55
AWAY #183 Bryant 76 75 -3.29 +4.29
HOME # 89 Rhode Island 84 80 -3.35 +7.35
AWAY # 10 Kansas 62 83 -20.22 0.028
The following user(s) said Thank You: HawkErrant, sasnak, hairyhawk, Bayhawk, boulderhawk, Socalhawk, porthawk, hoshi, USAF Jayhawk, jaythawk1
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