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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
predictions for Indiana game
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11 months 1 week ago #31841
by asteroid
I'm busy chasing asteroids (again), so no time for analysis.
Rock Chalk!
Greenfield Stats Comparison
===========================
Offensive Stats IU KU Defensive Stats IU KU
Points/Game 74.3 79.6 Opp Points/Game 73.1 66.1
Avg Score Margin +1.2 +13.4 Opp Effective FG % 48.9 44.1
Assists/Game 14.3 21.3 Off Rebounds/Gm 7.3 6.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 34.1 38.9 Def Rebounds/Gm 24.1 28.6
Effective FG % 52.7 58.0 Blocks/Game 4.7 5.1
Off Rebound % 25.5 24.7 Steals/Game 6.0 6.9
FTA/FGA 0.480 0.355 Personal Fouls/Gm 16.9 14.2
Turnover % 15.9 15.7
Take most of these numbers with a grain of salt, as they are based on Sagarin's
final ratings from last season.
My Stats Comparison KU IU
=================== ============= ============
performance -0.91 -9.04
inconsistency 14.23 11.05
trend -2.46 ± 1.73 +0.67 ± 1.50
mental toughness +0.22 ± 0.38 +0.07 ± 0.40
average total pts 145.67 147.44
Common Opponents
================
There is one common opponent, namely Connecticut:
KU +4 UConn at home ( 0 neutral court)
IU -20 UConn neutral (-20 neutral court)
KU +16 IU on road (+20 neutral court)
Players to Watch
================
most minutes Trey Galloway (guard)
most points Kel'el Ware (center)
most rebounds Kel'el Ware (center)
most assists Trey Galloway (guard)
most steals CJ Gunn (guard)
most blocks Kel'el Ware (center)
most turnovers Malik Reneau (forward)
most fouls Malik Reneau (forward)
Guard Xavier Johnson has missed the last three games with a foot injury; his
availability for today's game is unknown; he's fourth on the team in terms of
minutes played per game. Reserve guard Shaan Burke is out with an undisclosed
issue. Reserve guard Jordan Rayford is out with a lower body injury. Reserve
guard Jakai Newton is recovering from knee surgery, with no established timetable
for a return to action.
9-1 7-2
Margin Predicted Win Prb Kansas Indiana
Predictor points Score percent Rating SOS Rating SOS
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============ ============
Sagarin Overall # # # #
Sagarin Predictor # # # #
Sagarin Golden Mean # # # #
Sagarin Recent Games # # # #
Sagarin Eigenvector
Massey +4.00 73 69 62 # 6 # 26 # 32 # 22
Pomeroy +6.34 78 71 # 11 # 67 # 77 # 73
Greenfield +7.00 77 70 # 16 # 16 # 83 # 43
Dunkel +10.50 76 66 # 6 # 62
Vegas (via Dunkel) +7.00 76.5 69.5
Dolphin Predictive +4.00 76 72 63.2 # 20 # 15 # 98 # 77
Real Time -4.00 77 81 39.8 # 3 #117 # 58 #218
Seven Overtimes -2.00 73 75 47 # 50 #107 # 89 # 15
DPPI +6.40 76 70 68.0 # 21 # 42 # 96 # 64
ESPN BPI +4.70 66.8 # 12 # 53 # 84 # 38
Whitlock +4.52 # 27 # 54 #108 # 50
Colley Matrix +2.93 # 8 # 49 # 55 #176
NCAA NET # 16 #120
LRMC # # # #
common opponents +16.00
Massey composite # 8 # 72
Pomeroy offense # 29 # 81
Pomeroy defense # 6 # 74
Pomeroy tempo #103 #100
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============ ============
average +5.18 75.8 71.5 57.8
scatter 4.99 1.7 4.3 11.6
Here is Kansas' season, with predicted margins based on last season's final
Sagarin ratings:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
HOME #220 NC Central 99 56 +23.32 +19.68
HOME #290 Manhattan 99 61 +27.77 +10.23
NEUT # 22 Kentucky 89 84 +3.83 +1.17
Div2 Chaminade 83 56
NEUT # 14 Marquette 59 73 +2.55 -16.55
NEUT # 5 Tennessee 69 60 -1.27 +10.27
HOME #350 Eastern Illinois 71 63 +33.50 -25.50
HOME # 3 Connecticut 69 65 +0.64 +3.36
HOME #305 Kansas City(UMKC) 88 69 +28.56 -9.56
HOME # 56 Missouri 73 64 +10.31 -1.31
AWAY # 16 Indiana -0.09 0.497
HOME # 77 Yale +12.59 0.829
NEUT # 98 Wichita State +11.92 0.815
HOME # 19 TCU +6.52 0.677
AWAY # 61 Central Florida(UCF) +4.85 0.643
HOME # 57 Oklahoma +10.42 0.775
AWAY # 44 Oklahoma State +2.57 0.582
AWAY # 24 West Virginia +0.85 0.525
HOME # 46 Cincinnati +9.22 0.756
AWAY # 30 Iowa State +1.24 0.536
HOME # 44 Oklahoma State +8.85 0.762
HOME # 2 Houston +0.14 0.504
AWAY # 26 Kansas State +0.93 0.529
HOME # 12 Baylor +4.47 0.632
AWAY # 37 Texas Tech +2.20 0.565
AWAY # 57 Oklahoma +4.14 0.618
HOME # 6 Texas +2.58 0.578
HOME # 67 BYU +11.82 0.813
AWAY # 12 Baylor -1.81 0.446
HOME # 26 Kansas State +7.21 0.716
AWAY # 2 Houston -6.14 0.322
Here is Indiana's season to date, with rankings and predictions based on
Sagarin's final ratings from last season:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
HOME #204 Florida Gulf Coast 69 63 +19.46 -13.46
HOME #261 Army West Point 72 64 +23.07 -15.07
HOME #177 Wright State 89 80 +17.97 -8.97
NEUT # 3 Connecticut 57 77 -5.55 -14.45
NEUT #236 Louisville 74 66 +18.38 -10.38
NEUT #164 Harvard 89 76 +14.09 -1.09
HOME # 32 Maryland 65 53 +4.56 +7.44
AWAY # 43 Michigan 78 75 -0.58 +3.58
NEUT # 23 Auburn 76 104 +0.93 -28.93
HOME # 7 Kansas +0.09 0.503
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