predictions for Kansas City game

I'm on travel, and I forgot to copy all my current season files to a
USB memory key to bring with me, so I don't have access to the same files
I've used for previous games.

Meanwhile, Whitlock is now on board for this season, and the NCAA is now
doing its NET rankings.  Kansas is sitting down at #16, possibly because of
no true road games so far this season.  But the Big 12 is looking good, with
seven of the top twenty (eight if you count future members):

 1 Houston
 2 BYU
 3 Arizona (future member)
 6 Baylor
13 Iowa State
14 Cincinnati
16 Kansas
19 Oklahoma

A team we beat, namely UConn, is ranked higher in the NET at 9.  Unfortunately,
Sagarin is still AWOL, even though he's now done with football, except for one
final championship game, for which the participants won't be known for several
weeks.  What will he do with his time?

But I digress.  What about today's game?  Oh woe is us.  Kansas City is a
giant killer.  They beat Avila by 31 points.  They beat Saint Mary by 53
points.  They beat Southeast Missouri by 30 points.  Furphy should have
joined the Kansas City team; he could have been a Kangaroo!  (Appropriate
for an Aussie.)

Rock Chalk!

Greenfield Stats Comparison
===========================
Offensive Stats     UMKC    KU       Defensive Stats     UMKC    KU
Points/Game         67.0    79.3     Opp Points/Game     76.5    66.0
Avg Score Margin    -9.5   +13.3     Opp Effective FG %  56.8    43.3
Assists/Game        12.5    21.9     Off Rebounds/Gm     10.0     6.6
Total Rebounds/Gm   35.2    38.7     Def Rebounds/Gm     20.3    29.0
Effective FG %      48.8    59.1     Blocks/Game          3.2     5.6
Off Rebound %       33.0    24.0     Steals/Game          4.8     6.4
FTA/FGA            0.301   0.354     Personal Fouls/Gm   23.5    13.9
Turnover %          18.2    16.2

Common Opponents
================
There are no common opponents, though this game will create a common opponent
for the Baylor game.

Players to Watch
================
most minutes       Jamar Brown (guard)
most points        Jamar Brown (guard)
most rebounds      Jamar Brown (guard)
most assists       Anderson Kopp (guard)
most steals        Jamar Brown (guard), Artese Stapleton (guard)
most blocks        Allen David Mukeba Jr. (forward)
most turnovers     Jamar Brown (guard)
most fouls         Allen David Mukeba Jr. (forward)

                                                           7-1           3-5
                       Margin   Predicted   Win Prb      Kansas      Kansas City
Predictor              points     Score     percent   Rating   SOS   Rating   SOS 
====================   ======   =========   =======   ============   ============
Sagarin Overall                                        #      #       #      #    
Sagarin Predictor                                      #      #       #      #    
Sagarin Golden Mean                                    #      #       #      #    
Sagarin Recent Games                                   #      #       #      #    
Sagarin Eigenvector                               
Massey                 +30.00   83   53       99       #  6   # 18    #295   #174
Pomeroy                +26.04   84   58                # 10   # 23    #      #   
Greenfield             +26.00   84   58                # 12   #  6    #273   #287
Dunkel                 +30.50   89   59                #  7           #346                           
Vegas (via Dunkel)     +26.00   83   57                                          
Dolphin Predictive     +23.78   83   59       97.9     # 13   #  6    #251   #226
Real Time              +56.00   89   33      100.0     #  2   #137    #360   #163 
Seven Overtimes        +16.00   81   65       94       # 99   # 69    #235   #137
DPPI                   +26.40   85   59       97.2     # 15   # 15    #260   # 66
ESPN BPI               +21.90                 97.0     #  7   # 34    #259   #100
Whitlock               +23.76                          # 23   # 54    #243   @227
Colley Matrix          +20.88                          # 13   # 35    #297   # 69
NCAA NET                                               # 16           #314
LRMC                                                   #      #       #      #   
common opponents                                           
Massey composite                                       #  7           #289
Pomeroy offense                                        # 27           #275
Pomeroy defense                                        #  5           #263
Pomeroy tempo                                          #108           #260
====================   ======   =========   =======   ============   ============ 
average                +27.27   84.6 55.7     97.5
scatter                  9.86    2.7  9.0      2.1

I left the current season for Kansas on my home computer, and I didn't want to
take the time to reproduce it here.  Given that we don't have updated Sagarin
ratings, the predictions, probabilities, and errors are becoming more and more
meaningless as this season progresses, until such time that Sagarin produces
new ratings or I switch to another provider, so its absence isn't such a big
deal.  I'll be back home before Saturday's tilt with Misery.

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----

Here is Kansas City's season to-date:

SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----
NAIA        Avila                       79  48
NAIA        Univ. of Saint Mary         95  42
AWAY        Baylor                      61  99
AWAY        Colorado State              61  84
HOME        NC Greensboro               64  76
HOME        Brown                       83  93
HOME        Middle Tennessee State      59  63
HOME        Southeast Missouri          74  44
AWAY        Kansas