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  • asteroid
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1 year 8 months ago #30646 by asteroid
Here is Kansas' season, with future games based on the assumption that the
higher seed will advance:

                                                                            CUMU.
SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.   PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----   -----
HOME   #318 Omaha(Neb.-Omaha)           89  64   +30.14    -5.14
HOME   #219 North Dakota State          82  59   +23.74    -0.74
NEUT   # 19 Duke                        69  64    +3.80    +1.20
HOME   #121 Southern Utah               82  76   +17.98   -11.98
NEUT   # 47 NC State                    80  74    +6.66    -0.66
NEUT   # 58 Wisconsin                   69  68    +8.05    -7.05
NEUT   #  3 Tennessee                   50  64    -1.27   -12.73
HOME   #285 Texas Southern              87  55   +28.07    +3.93
HOME   # 57 Seton Hall                  91  65   +10.98   +15.02
AWAY   # 53 Missouri                    95  67    +4.41   +23.59
HOME   # 14 Indiana                     84  62    +6.36   +15.64
HOME   #166 Harvard                     68  54   +21.00    -7.00
HOME   # 40 Oklahoma State              69  67    +8.97    -6.97
AWAY   # 36 Texas Tech                  75  72    +2.49    +0.51
AWAY   # 23 West Virginia               76  62    +1.08   +12.92
HOME   # 54 Oklahoma                    79  75   +10.82    -6.82
HOME   # 24 Iowa State                  62  60    +7.40    -5.40
AWAY   # 29 Kansas State                82  83    +1.41    -2.41
HOME   # 18 TCU                         60  83    +6.71   -29.71
AWAY   # 11 Baylor                      69  75    -1.57    -4.43
AWAY   # 21 Kentucky                    77  68    +0.98    +8.02
HOME   # 29 Kansas State                90  78    +7.69    +4.31
AWAY   # 24 Iowa State                  53  68    +1.12   -16.12
HOME   #  8 Texas                       88  80    +3.33    +4.67
AWAY   # 54 Oklahoma                    78  55    +4.54   +18.46
AWAY   # 40 Oklahoma State              87  76    +2.69    +8.31
HOME   # 11 Baylor                      87  71    +4.71   +11.29
AWAY   # 18 TCU                         63  58    +0.43    +4.57
HOME   # 23 West Virginia               76  74    +7.36    -5.36
HOME   # 36 Texas Tech                  67  63    +8.77    -4.77
AWAY   #  8 Texas                       59  75    -2.95   -13.05
NEUT   # 23 West Virginia               78  61    +4.22   +12.78
NEUT   # 24 Iowa State                  71  58    +4.26    +8.74
NEUT   #  8 Texas                       56  76    +0.19   -20.19
NEUT   #235 Howard                               +21.68             0.972   0.972
NEUT   # 16 Arkansas                              +3.15             0.610   0.592
NEUT   #  6 Connecticut                           -0.56             0.480   0.285
NEUT   #  4 UCLA                                  -1.26             0.456   0.130
NEUT   #  1 Houston                               -3.13             0.391   0.051
NEUT   #  2 Alabama                               -2.99             0.396   0.020
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1 year 8 months ago #30654 by porthawk
So just to clarify, Asteroid, does that mean we're projected as underdogs from the Sweet 16 on (assuming we play the highest seed possible)?

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1 year 8 months ago #30658 by replayloungehawk
These are about the same odds I had of marrying my wife and that worked out so hopefully this does as well...

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1 year 8 months ago #30678 by HawkErrant

porthawk wrote: So just to clarify, Asteroid, does that mean we're projected as underdogs from the Sweet 16 on (assuming we play the highest seed possible)?


Not asteroid, but that’s how I’m reading his report, porthawk!

Will only make it sweeter if they can win it all!

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"
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1 year 8 months ago #30681 by asteroid
> So just to clarify, Asteroid, does that mean we're projected as underdogs from the Sweet 16 on (assuming we play the highest seed possible)?

Yes; the West region is really loaded. Four of the top six Sagarin Overall teams (as of Friday's games) are in the West region: #2 UCLA, #4 Kansas, #5 Gonzaga, and #6 Connecticut. (Kansas dropped to #7 after that 20 point loss to Texas.)

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1 year 8 months ago #30707 by porthawk
Got it. Thanks for the explanation, asteroid. And quite a gauntlet* it is, indeed.

*Btw, does anyone know if it's gauntlet or gantlet? I always thought it was the former, but then I read that it's actually the latter.

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1 year 8 months ago #30713 by HawkErrant
Well, I’ll be. Live and learn another day. News to me as well, port. I do not ever recall seeing “gantlet” before. Perhaps I subconsciously added the “u”? But this seems to cover it…

Grammarphobia
Grammar, etymology, usage, and more, brought to you by Patricia T. O’Conner and Stewart Kellerman

Is it “gantlet” or “gauntlet”?
August 30, 2006
Q: Sometimes I see “gantlet” and sometimes I see “gauntlet.” Which one is correct?

A: The old “gantlet/gauntlet” distinction is rapidly being lost, since dictionaries these days are increasingly regarding them as interchangeable.

“Gantlet” originally came from a Swedish word similar to “lane,” and referred to the parallel lines involved in an old form of military punishment. Someone forced to “run the gantlet” was made to run between parallel lines of his colleagues, who would hit him with clubs or switches as he passed.

A “gauntlet” (French word) was a heavy, armored glove worn by a knight. As a challenge to fight, the knight would toss his glove to the ground (“throw down the gauntlet”). The opponent accepting the challenge was said to “pick up the gauntlet.”

Most dictionaries now accept the spelling “gauntlet” for both of those meanings. There’s still a technical term “gantlet” used in railroading, though.

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"
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