Big 12 projection, Round 5

                     Init Rd 1 Rd 2 Rd 3 Rd 4 Rd 5 
Pred                 Proj Proj Proj Proj Proj Proj Conf
Rank  Big XII Team   Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Recrd  Next Game  Prediction
----  -------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- -----  ---------  --------------
#  6  Kansas         11.6 11.4 12.0 13.1 12.8 12.9  5  0  @KSU Tue   KU  74  KSU 71
#  8  Texas          11.3 11.6 10.5 11.2 11.4 11.7  4  1  @ISU Tue                 
# 19  Iowa State      7.5  8.5  9.1 10.1 11.2 11.0  4  1   UT  Tue   ISU 66  UT  64
# 21  TCU             8.4  9.1 10.0  9.2  9.0  9.7  3  2  @WVU Wed                 
# 39  Kansas State    6.4  7.2  8.8  9.6 10.1  9.5  4  1   KU  Tue                 
# 11  Baylor         10.7  9.8  9.0  7.9  8.7  9.1  2  3  @TTU Tue   BU  73  TTU 72
# 41  Oklahoma        7.3  7.1  6.2  7.0  7.0  7.2  2  3  @OSU Wed                 
# 34  Oklahoma State  8.4  8.2  8.6  7.9  7.3  6.9  1  4   OU  Wed   OSU 63  OU  60
# 29  Texas Tech      9.1  8.8  8.1  7.1  6.3  6.3  0  5   BU  Tue                 
# 37  West Virginia   9.3  8.3  7.7  6.9  6.2  5.7  0  5   TCU Wed   WVU 74  TCU 71

Massey and Real Tme shared honors for best prognostications in Round 5, with Dolphin and
Sagarin Predictor breathing down their necks.  Dunkel once again pulled up the rear.
Seven Overtimes retained the season lead, with Real Time bringing up the rear.

No road wins were projected for Round 5, and none happened.  Two road wins are projected for
Round 6.

Road wins (11 out of 25)                     Home losses                                   RW-HL
-------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- -------
2 Iowa State     OU  TCU                     0 Iowa State                                 +2 ISU
2 Kansas         TTU WVU                     0 Kansas                                     +2 KU 
2 Kansas State   UT  BU                      0 Kansas State                               +2 KSU
2 Texas          OU  OSU                     1 Oklahoma State UT                          +1 UT 
1 Oklahoma       TTU                         1 TCU            ISU                          0 TCU
1 TCU            BU                          1 Texas          KSU                         -1 OU 
1 Baylor         WVU                         2 West Virginia  KU  BU                      -1 OSU
0 Oklahoma State                             2 Baylor         TCU KSU                     -2 WVU         
0 Texas Tech                                 2 Texas Tech     KU  OU                      -1 BU 
0 West Virginia                              2 Oklahoma       UT  ISU                     -2 TTU

Performance (points)     Inconsistency (points)
---------------------    ----------------------
Kansas State    +3.08    Oklahoma State    7.54
Iowa State      +2.84    Oklahoma          8.16
West Virginia   +2.16    Kansas State      9.13
Kansas          +1.54    Kansas           10.11
Texas           +1.01    Texas            10.49
Baylor          +0.64    Iowa State       11.75
Oklahoma        +0.19    West Virginia    11.80
TCU             -0.19    TCU              12.96
Texas Tech      -0.21    Texas Tech       13.11
Oklahoma State  -0.61    Baylor           13.93

Trend (points per game)           Mental toughness
------------------------------    ------------------------------
TCU             +1.39 +/- 0.56    Oklahoma        +0.38 +/- 0.18
Oklahoma        +0.54 +/- 0.39    TCU             +0.28 +/- 0.24
Iowa State      +0.49 +/- 0.65    Kansas          +0.18 +/- 0.28
Kansas          +0.36 +/- 0.51    West Virginia   +0.05 +/- 0.29
Kansas State    +0.10 +/- 0.47    Iowa State      -0.12 +/- 0.23
Oklahoma State  -0.03 +/- 0.39    Kansas State    -0.12 +/- 0.23
Texas Tech      -0.40 +/- 0.66    Oklahoma State  -0.22 +/- 0.19
Texas           -0.80 +/- 0.50    Texas           -0.26 +/- 0.22
Baylor          -0.86 +/- 0.68    Baylor          -0.31 +/- 0.28
West Virginia   -0.99 +/- 0.55    Texas Tech      -0.53 +/- 0.23

Average offense (pts)   Average defense (pts)   Total Points             Scoring Margin (pts)  
---------------------   ---------------------   ----------------------   ----------------------
Texas           80.29   Iowa State      58.56   Baylor          150.18   Texas           +13.12
Baylor          79.76   Oklahoma State  62.71   West Virginia   147.53   Iowa State      +11.62
Kansas State    77.71   Oklahoma        64.06   Texas           147.47   TCU             +11.53
West Virginia   77.65   TCU             65.59   Kansas State    145.41   Kansas          +10.06
TCU             77.12   Kansas          66.00   TCU             142.71   Kansas State    +10.00
Kansas          76.06   Texas Tech      66.35   Kansas          142.06   Baylor           +9.35
Texas Tech      75.41   Texas           67.18   Texas Tech      141.76   Texas Tech       +9.06
Iowa State      70.19   Kansas State    67.71   Oklahoma        132.71   West Virginia    +7.76
Oklahoma        68.65   West Virginia   69.88   Oklahoma State  130.41   Oklahoma State   +5.00
Oklahoma State  67.71   Baylor          70.41   Iowa State      128.75   Oklahoma         +4.59

Schedule Strength
---------------------------
Kansas          79.77 (  3)
West Virginia   78.38 ( 13)
Oklahoma        78.31 ( 14)
Iowa State      78.09 ( 19)
Oklahoma State  78.02 ( 20)
Baylor          77.42 ( 29)
Kansas State    75.77 ( 59)
Texas           75.21 ( 82)
Texas Tech      73.52 (131)
TCU             73.42 (139)