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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
predictions for Oklahoma State game
- asteroid
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1 year 10 months ago #29991
by asteroid
Now the games mean something.
As usual with these early tips, I'm waiting on Dunkel and Sagarin. This time I
chose to get to sleep early and then get up early to finish the summary, but
that means little lead time for folks to read it before tip-off. The less
chit-chat, the faster I can get it posted, and the more time you'll have to
digest the numbers before the game.
Rock Chalk!
Greenfield Stats Comparison
===========================
Offensive Stats OSU KU Defensive Stats OSU KU
Points/Game 71.7 78.8 Opp Points/Game 61.5 64.3
Avg Score Margin +10.2 +14.5 Opp Effective FG % 41.6 44.8
Assists/Game 14.2 18.3 Off Rebounds/Gm 9.8 10.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 39.7 38.3 Def Rebounds/Gm 27.1 26.0
Effective FG % 51.2 54.3 Blocks/Game 5.3 4.3
Off Rebound % 33.3 30.8 Steals/Game 6.7 9.8
FTA/FGA 0.326 0.258 Personal Fouls/Gm 16.4 16.0
Turnover % 18.5 15.0
My Stats Comparison KU OSU
=================== ============= ============
performance +1.96 -0.28
inconsistency 11.46 7.95
trend +1.55 ± 0.88 +0.91 ± 0.64
mental toughness +0.22 ± 0.35 -0.17 ± 0.26
average total pts 143.17 133.17
Common Opponents
================
There are no common opponents.
Players to Watch
================
most minutes three-way tie
most points Avery Anderson III (guard)
most rebounds Moussa Cisse (forward)
most assists Avery Anderson III (guard)
most steals Avery Anderson III (guard)
most blocks Moussa Cisse (forward)
most turnovers Avery Anderson III (guard)
most fouls Avery Anderson III (guard)
Guard Caleb Asberry has been out sick for the last two games. He's fifth in
minutes played per game and scores almost 8 points per game, so he's a contributor.
Unknown if he'll be healthy enough to play on Saturday.
11-1 8-4
Margin Predicted Win Prb Kansas Oklahoma St.
Predictor points Score percent Rating SOS Rating SOS
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============ ============
Sagarin Overall +9.21 72 63 78 # 4 # 21 # 31 #134
Sagarin Predictor +8.03 72 64 78.6 # 5 # 21 # 30 #134
Sagarin Golden Mean +10.90 73 62 # 3 # 21 # 38 #134
Sagarin Recent Games +8.86 72 63 # 4 # 21 # 29 #134
Sagarin Eigenvector +14.25 75 61 87
Massey +8.00 74 66 76 # 3 # 8 # 52 # 52
Pomeroy +8.99 71 62 # 5 # 30 # 29 #114
Greenfield +10.00 74.5 64.5 # 8 # 4 # 35 # 45
Dunkel +12.00 73 61 # 3 #159
Vegas (via Dunkel) +10.00 74 64
Dolphin Predictive +10.32 74 63 81.9 # 5 # 5 # 29 # 39
Real Time +18.00 84 66 91.5 # 1 # 18 # 76 #117
Seven Overtimes +4.00 71 67 68 # 8 # 12 # 27 # 66
DPPI +8.30 74 65 73.7 # 6 # 15 # 28 # 61
ESPN BPI +7.00 74.2 # 13 # 25 # 25 # 69
Whitlock +9.77 # 6 # 6 # 33 # 33
Colley Matrix +15.09 # 3 # 15 # 76 # 94
NCAA NET # 5 # 47
LRMC # # # #
common opponents
Massey composite # 3 # 47
Pomeroy offense # 16 # 71
Pomeroy defense # 5 # 16
Pomeroy tempo #104 #154
==================== ====== ========= ======= ============ ============
average +10.16 73.8 63.7 78.8
scatter 3.27 3.2 1.9 7.2
Here is Kansas' season, for which the current season projection is a 23-8
record:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
HOME #297 Omaha(Neb.-Omaha) 89 64 +27.91 -2.91
HOME #265 North Dakota State 82 59 +25.73 -2.73
NEUT # 13 Duke 69 64 +1.93 +3.07
HOME #141 Southern Utah 82 76 +18.71 -12.71
NEUT # 49 NC State 80 74 +7.09 -1.09
NEUT # 34 Wisconsin 69 68 +5.17 -4.17
NEUT # 3 Tennessee 50 64 -1.41 -12.59
HOME #248 Texas Southern 87 55 +24.57 +7.43
HOME # 66 Seton Hall 91 65 +11.83 +14.17
AWAY # 53 Missouri 95 67 +4.28 +23.72
HOME # 15 Indiana 84 62 +5.32 +16.68
HOME #160 Harvard 68 54 +19.38 -5.38
HOME # 30 Oklahoma State +7.80 0.786
AWAY # 26 Texas Tech +0.78 0.526
AWAY # 22 West Virginia +0.45 0.515
HOME # 40 Oklahoma +9.36 0.806
HOME # 39 Iowa State +9.18 0.796
AWAY # 56 Kansas State +4.61 0.677
HOME # 32 TCU +8.09 0.728
AWAY # 9 Baylor -2.12 0.439
AWAY # 23 Kentucky +0.61 0.522
HOME # 56 Kansas State +10.67 0.856
AWAY # 39 Iowa State +3.12 0.611
HOME # 8 Texas +3.67 0.634
AWAY # 40 Oklahoma +3.30 0.619
AWAY # 30 Oklahoma State +1.74 0.570
HOME # 9 Baylor +3.94 0.612
AWAY # 32 TCU +2.03 0.560
HOME # 22 West Virginia +6.51 0.704
HOME # 26 Texas Tech +6.84 0.717
AWAY # 8 Texas -2.39 0.412
Here is Oklahoma State's season:
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
HOME #239 UT Arlington 77 66 +19.42 -8.42
HOME #119 Southern Illinois 60 61 +12.56 -13.56
AWAY #298 Oakland-Mich. 91 62 +17.10 +11.90
NEUT # 59 Central Florida(UCF) 56 60 +3.23 -7.23
NEUT #137 DePaul 82 78 +10.78 -6.78
HOME #217 Tulsa 82 56 +18.04 +7.96
HOME #264 Prairie View A&M 78 53 +20.80 +4.20
AWAY # 2 Connecticut 64 74 -9.97 -0.03
HOME # 81 Sam Houston State 65 51 +8.62 +5.38
NEUT # 38 Virginia Tech 65 70 +1.35 -6.35
AWAY # 92 Wichita State 59 49 +3.61 +6.39
HOME #249 Texas A&M-CorpusChristi 81 58 +19.81 +3.19
AWAY # 5 Kansas -7.80 0.214
HOME # 22 West Virginia +1.74 0.565
HOME # 8 Texas -1.10 0.451
AWAY # 56 Kansas State -0.16 0.492
AWAY # 9 Baylor -6.89 0.291
HOME # 40 Oklahoma +4.59 0.692
HOME # 39 Iowa State +4.41 0.680
AWAY # 8 Texas -7.16 0.213
HOME # 70 Mississippi +7.76 0.791
AWAY # 40 Oklahoma -1.47 0.436
HOME # 32 TCU +3.32 0.609
HOME # 26 Texas Tech +2.07 0.579
AWAY # 39 Iowa State -1.65 0.431
HOME # 5 Kansas -1.74 0.430
AWAY # 32 TCU -2.74 0.410
AWAY # 22 West Virginia -4.32 0.342
HOME # 56 Kansas State +5.90 0.765
HOME # 9 Baylor -0.83 0.474
AWAY # 26 Texas Tech -3.99 0.351
The following user(s) said Thank You: HawkErrant, sasnak, hairyhawk, Bayhawk, Socalhawk, porthawk, jaythawk1
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