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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Updated Odds After round 2
- CorpusJayhawk
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2 years 8 months ago #28824
by CorpusJayhawk
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
KU favored to come out of Midwest into Final Four but probability still only 48.4% at this point. KU 10.8% probability to win it all.
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
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- hairyhawk
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2 years 8 months ago #28827
by hairyhawk
I find it interesting that Houston and UA play in the sweet 16. Houston is the 5 seed and UA is the 1 seed yet Houston has better odds of getting the the elite 8 than UA according to this model. I have no idea if that is right or wrong I just find it interesting.
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- CorpusJayhawk
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2 years 8 months ago #28829
by CorpusJayhawk
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
This is all based on the DPPI. I have Houston as the No. 2 team in the country thanks to TCU taking Arizona to the wire. Houston was the worst seeded team in this tourney in my opinion. Wisconsin was the opposite. I actually had Iowa St. over Wisconsin. Houston got punished for being in the AAC. They are a very very good team. I have them as a 52% to beat Arizona. That is pretty much statistically a toss-up but Houston is a slight favorite.
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
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- konza63
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2 years 8 months ago - 2 years 8 months ago #28831
by konza63
“With kindest regards to Dr. Forrest C. Allen, the father of basketball coaching, from the father of the game.”
1936 inscription on the portrait of Dr. Naismith, displayed above Phog Allen's office desk at KU.
And you're not alone - seeing similar projections for the Houston-Zona matchup (slight Houston edge) from others - e.g., 538:
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-march-...ions/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Here's a question for both Don and all other RCBers: based on what you saw from Houston and Arizona yesterday (and over the full weekend and season), who would you rather KU play - who do you think we have the best chance of beating - if we advance past the Chicago S16/E8 round?
Note: feel free to employ analytics or eye test (or both, lol)...
Here's a question for both Don and all other RCBers: based on what you saw from Houston and Arizona yesterday (and over the full weekend and season), who would you rather KU play - who do you think we have the best chance of beating - if we advance past the Chicago S16/E8 round?
Note: feel free to employ analytics or eye test (or both, lol)...
“With kindest regards to Dr. Forrest C. Allen, the father of basketball coaching, from the father of the game.”
1936 inscription on the portrait of Dr. Naismith, displayed above Phog Allen's office desk at KU.
Last Edit: 2 years 8 months ago by konza63.
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- CorpusJayhawk
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2 years 8 months ago #28834
by CorpusJayhawk
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
I don’t have a “rather”between those two teams. They will both be very tough. I think Houston may be a slightly better matchup for Kansas since Arizona has some very talented bigs that could expose our interior defense.
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
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- AZhawk87
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2 years 8 months ago #28839
by AZhawk87
I'd take Houston. I think AZ's size and athleticism will be tough for us, especially if Mitch is not ready for a full playing load.
The AZ guard was unstoppable, and not sure we have anyone who could slow him down.
Mac could foul out in first half against the AZ 7 footer, and we don't have much to back him up.
The AZ guard was unstoppable, and not sure we have anyone who could slow him down.
Mac could foul out in first half against the AZ 7 footer, and we don't have much to back him up.
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- konza63
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2 years 8 months ago #28845
by konza63
“With kindest regards to Dr. Forrest C. Allen, the father of basketball coaching, from the father of the game.”
1936 inscription on the portrait of Dr. Naismith, displayed above Phog Allen's office desk at KU.
My eye test watching Zona last night landed me with you and Corpus. I don't want any part of that hyper-athletic Arizona team, which definitely would present major matchup issues for us. That being said, if we're fortunate enough to get that far and it happens, the guys should find some confidence in how game TCU was in fighting them.
All that being said, one game at a time, of course. Providence, then the winner of ISU-Miami.
All that being said, one game at a time, of course. Providence, then the winner of ISU-Miami.
“With kindest regards to Dr. Forrest C. Allen, the father of basketball coaching, from the father of the game.”
1936 inscription on the portrait of Dr. Naismith, displayed above Phog Allen's office desk at KU.
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- Illhawk
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2 years 8 months ago - 2 years 8 months ago #28851
by Illhawk
For now I am concerned with Providence. Big East teams seem to make lots of threes against the Hawks.
If we get past them we get a team that's already shocked the world. The Clones will have a throng in Chicago and Miami has a super senior from there..
As to Houston or Zona it will probably take an even better performance than Tech in KC which was the best so far, Remy knows Zona and HCBS would have six days. At that point we are playing house money.
If we get past them we get a team that's already shocked the world. The Clones will have a throng in Chicago and Miami has a super senior from there..
As to Houston or Zona it will probably take an even better performance than Tech in KC which was the best so far, Remy knows Zona and HCBS would have six days. At that point we are playing house money.
Last Edit: 2 years 8 months ago by Illhawk.
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