2 years 8 months ago #28702
by asteroid
Here is the NCAA Tournament projection, assuming the higher seed advances.
However, do not assume that if a lower seed advances instead, the probability
will get better. Note that Kansas actually has an easier Round of 16 game
than its Round of 32 game. The Jayhawks have a 32 percent chance of making
the Final Four, a 15 percent chance of advancing to the title game, and a
5 percent chance of winning the National Championship. At least Bilas picked
Kansas to make it to the title game, but losing to Gonzaga. Others are picking
Iowa to knock Kansas out of the tournament. Of course, all of these probabilities
are subject to change as the actual opponents become known. Based on the Sagarin
Predictor ratings as of the end of the conference tournaments.
CUMU.
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB. PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- ----- -----
NEUT #216 Texas Southern +22.08 0.983 0.983
NEUT #262 Texas A&M-CorpusChristi +25.47 0.993
NEUT # 34 San Diego State +7.22 0.756 0.743
NEUT # 36 Providence +7.64 0.768 0.571
NEUT # 13 Auburn +1.79 0.568 0.324
NEUT # 2 Arizona -1.10 0.458 0.148
NEUT # 1 Gonzaga -4.41 0.336 0.050
The following user(s) said Thank You: HawkErrant, JRhawk, sasnak, hairyhawk, Bayhawk, Socalhawk, porthawk, DocBlues, hoshi, newtonhawk
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