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NCAA projection for Kansas

  • asteroid
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2 years 8 months ago #28702 by asteroid
Here is the NCAA Tournament projection, assuming the higher seed advances.
However, do not assume that if a lower seed advances instead, the probability
will get better.  Note that Kansas actually has an easier Round of 16 game
than its Round of 32 game.  The Jayhawks have a 32 percent chance of making
the Final Four, a 15 percent chance of advancing to the title game, and a
5 percent chance of winning the National Championship.  At least Bilas picked
Kansas to make it to the title game, but losing to Gonzaga.  Others are picking
Iowa to knock Kansas out of the tournament.  Of course, all of these probabilities
are subject to change as the actual opponents become known.  Based on the Sagarin
Predictor ratings as of the end of the conference tournaments.

                                                                             CUMU.
SITE   OPPONENT                         SCORE    PREDIC    ERROR    PROB.    PROB.
----   -----------------------------   -------   ------    -----    -----    -----
NEUT   #216 Texas Southern                       +22.08             0.983    0.983
NEUT   #262 Texas A&M-CorpusChristi              +25.47             0.993
NEUT   # 34 San Diego State                       +7.22             0.756    0.743
NEUT   # 36 Providence                            +7.64             0.768    0.571
NEUT   # 13 Auburn                                +1.79             0.568    0.324
NEUT   #  2 Arizona                               -1.10             0.458    0.148
NEUT   #  1 Gonzaga                               -4.41             0.336    0.050
The following user(s) said Thank You: HawkErrant, JRhawk, sasnak, hairyhawk, Bayhawk, Socalhawk, porthawk, DocBlues, hoshi, newtonhawk

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2 years 8 months ago #28729 by Socalhawk
Here is another take on championship odds. I copied this Asteroid creates his own.

Gonzaga +350
Arizona +600
Kentucky +800
Kansas +900
Baylor +1200
Auburn +1400
Duke +1400
Villanova +1600
Purdue +1800
UCLA +2000
Tennessee +2000

www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/new...ue-with-blue-bloods/
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