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And Then There Were Four......

  • DocBlues
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2 years 9 months ago #28497 by DocBlues
Only four teams are mathematically alive for the Big 12 championship: KU, Baylor, Texas Tech and Texas.
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  • HawkErrant
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2 years 9 months ago #28499 by HawkErrant
And tu at 8-6 would need a miracle of Biblical proportions to earn a tie for the title. tu should beat TCU in Austin tonight, and this season looks good for beating WVU in Morgantown. But then they host Baylor for the tu Senior game before closing at KANSAS for KU’s season finale Senior game. No way tu is winning all four (4) of those games — and also seeing KU lose all 4 of its remaining games while both BU and Tech lose 2 of their last 3 — which is what is needed for tu to have a share of the title at this point in the season.

But the other 3 are very much in it still.

KANSAS’ MAGIC NUMBER is 2

Any 2 KU wins or
combination of KU wins and Baylor losses AND KU wins and Tech losses each equal to 2
and KU has at least a share of the Big 12 title for AY2021-22.

GAMES LEFT

KANSAS (12-2)
BU @Waco
TCU @Ft Worth
AFH v TCU
AFH v tu

TECH (11-4) has a relative cakewalk for its last 3 games:
TCU @ Fort Worth
vs KState
OKSt @Stillwater

BAYLOR(11-4)
vs KANSAS
tu @Austin
vs ISU

IF KANSAS BEATS BU THIS SATURDAY, KANSAS magic number becomes 1 with 3 games to go. BU must win its last 2 and hope KU loses its last 3 and Tech loses at least one more game in order for BU to have at least a share of the title.

IF KANSAS LOSES TO BU THIS SATURDAY, KU needs to win 2 of its last 3 games to guarantee at least a share of the title.

With KU playing BU and tu and BU playing KANSAS and tu, IMO Tech, with its favorable schedule, is the best positioned to catch KU.

But if KU wins them all, they don’t have to worry about who else does what.

So WIN 'EM ALL, KANSAS!

ROCK CHALK! JAYHAWK! KU!

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"
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2 years 9 months ago #28502 by hairyhawk
Great point. And looking at HE post on remaining schedule Tech has the easiest road while BU and TU have a game that one of them will lose. I think it will come down to KU winning as I do not expect TTU to lose.

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2 years 9 months ago - 2 years 9 months ago #28505 by NotOstertag
Correct: the magic number is 2.

Kansas (12-2) faces Baylor (11-4) next and it's particularly important for Baylor. In fact, it's a "must win" for them.

If KU wins, KU will be 13-2 and Baylor will be 11-5. With only 2 games left, the best Baylor could hope for is 13-5. KU would have to lose all 3 of its remaining games for Baylor to get a share of a 13-win tie with KU.

All that said, the magic number is 2. We need to go at least .500 over the next 4 games to wrap it all up.

It's ours to lose. I really want to beat Baylor in their gym on Saturday.

"When I was a freshman, I remember Coach Naismith telling us how important it was to play good defense." - Mitch Lightfoot
Last Edit: 2 years 9 months ago by HawkErrant. Reason: Changed "13-3" typo to "13-5"
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2 years 9 months ago #28506 by HawkErrant

NotOstertag wrote: Correct: the magic number is 2.

Kansas (12-2) faces Baylor (11-4) next and it's particularly important for Baylor. In fact, it's a "must win" for them.

If KU wins, KU will be 13-2 and Baylor will be 11-5. With only 2 games left, the best Baylor could hope for is 13-5. KU would have to lose all 3 of its remaining games for Baylor to get a share of a 13-win tie with KU.

All that said, the magic number is 2. We need to go at least .500 over the next 4 games to wrap it all up.

It's ours to lose. I really want to beat Baylor in their gym on Saturday.


Amen, NOtO, amen!!!

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"

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