KU's horrendous loss to Dayton drops them from 4th in the DPPI to 21st. Not only that, they were projected to go 26-5 before that game. Now they are projected to go 19-12. Part of this drop in projected wins is the change in their consistency rating. They went from 69th in consistency to 293rd. Consistency factor is a pretty significant factor in calculating game probabilities. I suspect (hope) this game was an aberration and KU will steadily climb back into the top 10. Here is the current top of the DPPI.
And here is the latest schedule projection