Preliminary Big 12 Tourney Probabilities

Thanks. It is interesting that BU is such a prohibitive favorite that the odds of them winning the final game is better than KU's odds of winning it's first game.

This season has 4 teams head and shoulders above the pack. The Big 12 is very distinctly tiered this season. Baylor is in a league of their own and a nationally elite team. Then comes the pack of 6 which have all been nose to nose for much of the season. OU was surging for awhile and then faded. West Virginia has been more or less strong all season. Texas started like a house afire and looked like they may contend with Baylor but came crashing down before they stabilized a bit. Texas Tech has been steady in the ratings but has lost more close games than they have won. Oklahoma State and Kansas are the current surge babies. Both appear to be peaking at the right time and have made great surges down the stretch. The ratings and probabilities are based on the DPPI which evaluates the entire season, although it does have some momentum adjustments in weighting recent games more heavily. After the pack of 6 is TCU which is sort of in a league of their own followed by Kansas State in a league of their own followed by poor pathetic Iowa St. having a dreadfully dismal horrific year for a proud program. Looking at Iowa St. makes me double and triple appreciate Self and his predecessors who never allow Kansas to fall to far even in the down years. I mean this season is one of the worst seasons in 35 years and may be the worst, yet we are a legitimate top 20 team at this point and may end up with as high as a No. 3 seed. That is simply mind-bogglingly great consistency.