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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
latest Big 12 projection
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3 years 8 months ago #26457
by HawkErrant
"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"
Tagging on to asteroid’s predictions.
BIG 12 STANDINGS THRU SUNDAY 28 FEB 2021
BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT
MOST LIKELY FINAL TOP 3
1. Baylor (only road game left @WVU) wins at least 1 of 3 to be champions; WVU wins 2 of 3 games left (all at home) to finish 2nd; KU 3rd, possibly tied with OKSt for 3rd IF the Pokes win out (unlikely playing @Baylor and @WVU).
UNLIKELY BUT POSSIBLE
2. WVU loses at least 2 to finish behind BU, KU and possibly OKSt, who ties with KU if they win out
3. WVU wins out (all 3 games at home) and wins the championship as Baylor ends season L4; KU 3rd
DISCUSSION
Below is the remaining regular season schedule for all Big 12 MBB teams.
Assuming all rescheduled games are played, each team will play the indicated # of Big 12 games this season—
(# in {} are remaining conference games scheduled)
B12 - PROGRAMS
18 - KANSAS{0}, KSt{1}, OKSt{3}, ISU{3}
17 - WVU{3}, OU{2}, Texas Tech{3}, tu{3} (yeah, I still have TAMU tinged JAYHAWK blood!)
16 - TCU{3}
14 - Baylor{3}
I have colored the teams I hope will win in order for KU to finish all alone in 2nd (which requires Baylor winning the championship).
Monday, March 1, 2021
Oklahoma @Oklahoma State 8:00 P.M. ESPN2
Can OU flip the script in back-to-back Bedlam games after Saturday’s OT loss in Norman?
An OU win means the Pokes can’t finish tied with KANSAS, allowing us to later unabashedly root for the Pokes against Baylor and WVU
Tuesday, March 2, 2021
Baylor @West Virginia 4:00 P.M. ESPN
TCU @Texas Tech 6:00 P.M. ESPN+
Texas @Iowa State 6:00 P.M. ESPN+
Baylor wins B12 RSC, giving WVU 1 of 2 hoped for losses.
Thursday, March 4, 2021
Oklahoma State @Baylor 6:00 P.M. ESPN2
Iowa State @Texas Tech 6:00 P.M. ESPNU
TCU @West Virginia 6:00 P.M. ESPN+
UTEP @Kansas 7:00 P.M. ESPN Networks (platform not set at post time)
Texas @Oklahoma 8:00 P.M. ESPN/2
KANSAS has won 38 straight Senior Games, and now needs to win to continue 38 straight final home game victories and go into the Big 12 tournament having won 7 of their last 8 games.
I’m torn about OKSt winning and possibly catching KANSAS, but I want them on a high heading into Morgantown, because I don’t see TCU winning there.
Saturday, March 6, 2021
Oklahoma State @West Virginia 1:00 P.M. ESPN/2
Iowa State @Kansas State 4:00 P.M. ESPN+
The most likely 2nd WVU loss which will result in KANSAS finishing in second place.
Sunday, March 7, 2021
Texas Tech @Baylor TBA ESPN
Texas @TCU 6:00 P.M. ESPN+
Because I would love Baylor losing its final conference home game, and because I’d rather Chris Beard finished with the W.
SUMMARY
At 10-4, WVU is in second and can finish there by winning two of 3, as they would have one fewer loss than KU. Accordingly, we want WVU to lose at least 2... a very unlikely thing, as all 3 remaining WVU games are at home, where they are very tough to beat, and one is hosting TCU, almost a sure win. But the other two are Baylor and Tech, so for me, that’s the hope.
If WVU wins all three of theirs and Baylor loses all three, the result is WVU 13-4 ahead of Baylor 10-4.
If WVU wins out but Baylor wins just 1 more game, they finish Baylor 11-3 (.786), WVU 13-4 (.765), Baylor getting the gold ring.
OU, with just 2 games left, cannot tie KU by winning out.
OKSt can, so we want the Pokes to lose at least 1, preferably tonight at home against OU so we can then root for them beating Baylor and WVU.
BIG 12 STANDINGS THRU SUNDAY 28 FEB 2021
BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT
MOST LIKELY FINAL TOP 3
1. Baylor (only road game left @WVU) wins at least 1 of 3 to be champions; WVU wins 2 of 3 games left (all at home) to finish 2nd; KU 3rd, possibly tied with OKSt for 3rd IF the Pokes win out (unlikely playing @Baylor and @WVU).
UNLIKELY BUT POSSIBLE
2. WVU loses at least 2 to finish behind BU, KU and possibly OKSt, who ties with KU if they win out
3. WVU wins out (all 3 games at home) and wins the championship as Baylor ends season L4; KU 3rd
DISCUSSION
Below is the remaining regular season schedule for all Big 12 MBB teams.
Assuming all rescheduled games are played, each team will play the indicated # of Big 12 games this season—
(# in {} are remaining conference games scheduled)
B12 - PROGRAMS
18 - KANSAS{0}, KSt{1}, OKSt{3}, ISU{3}
17 - WVU{3}, OU{2}, Texas Tech{3}, tu{3} (yeah, I still have TAMU tinged JAYHAWK blood!)
16 - TCU{3}
14 - Baylor{3}
I have colored the teams I hope will win in order for KU to finish all alone in 2nd (which requires Baylor winning the championship).
Monday, March 1, 2021
Oklahoma @Oklahoma State 8:00 P.M. ESPN2
Can OU flip the script in back-to-back Bedlam games after Saturday’s OT loss in Norman?
An OU win means the Pokes can’t finish tied with KANSAS, allowing us to later unabashedly root for the Pokes against Baylor and WVU
Tuesday, March 2, 2021
Baylor @West Virginia 4:00 P.M. ESPN
TCU @Texas Tech 6:00 P.M. ESPN+
Texas @Iowa State 6:00 P.M. ESPN+
Baylor wins B12 RSC, giving WVU 1 of 2 hoped for losses.
Thursday, March 4, 2021
Oklahoma State @Baylor 6:00 P.M. ESPN2
Iowa State @Texas Tech 6:00 P.M. ESPNU
TCU @West Virginia 6:00 P.M. ESPN+
UTEP @Kansas 7:00 P.M. ESPN Networks (platform not set at post time)
Texas @Oklahoma 8:00 P.M. ESPN/2
KANSAS has won 38 straight Senior Games, and now needs to win to continue 38 straight final home game victories and go into the Big 12 tournament having won 7 of their last 8 games.
I’m torn about OKSt winning and possibly catching KANSAS, but I want them on a high heading into Morgantown, because I don’t see TCU winning there.
Saturday, March 6, 2021
Oklahoma State @West Virginia 1:00 P.M. ESPN/2
Iowa State @Kansas State 4:00 P.M. ESPN+
The most likely 2nd WVU loss which will result in KANSAS finishing in second place.
Sunday, March 7, 2021
Texas Tech @Baylor TBA ESPN
Texas @TCU 6:00 P.M. ESPN+
Because I would love Baylor losing its final conference home game, and because I’d rather Chris Beard finished with the W.
SUMMARY
At 10-4, WVU is in second and can finish there by winning two of 3, as they would have one fewer loss than KU. Accordingly, we want WVU to lose at least 2... a very unlikely thing, as all 3 remaining WVU games are at home, where they are very tough to beat, and one is hosting TCU, almost a sure win. But the other two are Baylor and Tech, so for me, that’s the hope.
If WVU wins all three of theirs and Baylor loses all three, the result is WVU 13-4 ahead of Baylor 10-4.
If WVU wins out but Baylor wins just 1 more game, they finish Baylor 11-3 (.786), WVU 13-4 (.765), Baylor getting the gold ring.
OU, with just 2 games left, cannot tie KU by winning out.
OKSt can, so we want the Pokes to lose at least 1, preferably tonight at home against OU so we can then root for them beating Baylor and WVU.
"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"
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