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latest Big 12 projection

  • asteroid
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3 years 9 months ago #26354 by asteroid
                      Jan9    Jan16   Jan24   Jan30   Feb7    Feb14
Pred                  Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Conf                          
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins    Wins    Wins    Wins    Wins    Wins   Record  Next Game   Prediction 
----  -------------- ------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ---------   -----------
#  2  Baylor          15.4    16.0    16.5    16.5    16.8    16.7     9  0  @WVU (Mo)   postponed  
# 20  Oklahoma         9.6     9.9    10.7    11.4    11.1    11.9     8  4   UT  (Tu)   OU  by  2.6
# 12  Kansas          12.2    11.8    11.0    11.1    10.6    11.3     9  5  @KSU (We)   KU  by 13.9
# 16  West Virginia   10.7     9.7    10.0    10.4    11.1    11.3     7  4   BU  (Mo)   postponed  
# 22  Texas           11.7    11.8    11.8    11.1    10.2    10.5     7  4  @OU  (Tu)              
# 15  Texas Tech      10.1    11.1    11.1    10.6    11.1    10.3     6  5  @TCU (Mo)   TTU by 11.2
# 45  Oklahoma State   7.5     8.5     8.1     8.6     8.6     8.3     6  6   ISU (Tu)   OSU by 11.4
# 86  TCU              6.3     5.6     5.6     5.5     6.4     6.3     4  6   TTU (Mo)              
#149  Kansas State     3.1     2.6     2.2     2.1     1.9     1.9     1 12   KU  (We)              
#136  Iowa State       3.4     3.0     3.0     2.7     2.2     1.5     0 11  @OSU (Tu)              

Road wins (29 out of 57)                  Home losses                               Differential RW-HL
----------------------------------------  ----------------------------------------  ------------------
6 Baylor         KSU ISU TCU TTU OSU UT   0 Baylor                                  +6 Baylor        
4 Texas Tech     OU  ISU UT  KSU          1 Kansas         UT                       +2 Kansas        
4 West Virginia  OSU KSU ISU TTU          1 Oklahoma       TTU                      +2 Oklahoma      
3 Kansas         TTU TCU ISU              2 West Virginia  UT  OU                   +2 West Virginia 
3 Oklahoma       TCU UT  WVU              3 Oklahoma State TCU WVU BU                0 Oklahoma State
3 Oklahoma State TTU KSU ISU              3 TCU            OU  KU  BU                0 Texas         
3 Texas          KU  WVU KSU              3 Texas          TT  OU  BU                0 Texas Tech    
2 TCU            OSU KSU                  4 Texas Tech     KU  OSU BU  WVU          -1 TCU           
1 Kansas State   ISU                      6 Iowa State     KSU BU  TTU OSU WVU KU   -5 Kansas State  
0 Iowa State                              6 Kansas State   BU  TCU OSU WVU TTU UT   -6 Iowa State    

Performance (points)     Inconsistency (points)
---------------------    ----------------------
Baylor          +4.66    West Virginia     7.08
Texas           +1.55    Oklahoma State    7.14
Oklahoma        +1.28    Baylor            8.18
Texas Tech      +0.74    Kansas State      8.55
Oklahoma State  +0.48    Texas Tech        8.71
West Virginia   +0.26    TCU               9.67
Kansas          -0.48    Texas            10.45
TCU             -2.12    Oklahoma         10.84
Kansas State    -2.72    Iowa State       11.80
Iowa State      -4.21    Kansas           11.92

Trend (points per game)           Mental toughness
------------------------------    ------------------------------
Oklahoma        +0.22 +/- 0.50    Oklahoma State  +0.25 +/- 0.19
Oklahoma State  +0.17 +/- 0.30    Iowa State      +0.14 +/- 0.26
Kansas          +0.14 +/- 0.44    Texas           +0.11 +/- 0.30
Kansas State    +0.08 +/- 0.32    West Virginia   +0.08 +/- 0.27
West Virginia   +0.08 +/- 0.28    Baylor          +0.03 +/- 0.17
Baylor          -0.10 +/- 0.42    TCU             -0.08 +/- 0.23
Iowa State      -0.10 +/- 0.66    Oklahoma        -0.16 +/- 0.24
TCU             -0.29 +/- 0.41    Texas Tech      -0.21 +/- 0.16
Texas Tech      -0.46 +/- 0.33    Kansas State    -0.22 +/- 0.18
Texas           -0.77 +/- 0.45    Kansas          -0.49 +/- 0.27

Average offense (pts)   Average defense (pts)   Total Points             Scoring Margin (pts)  
---------------------   ---------------------   ----------------------   ----------------------
Baylor          86.76   Baylor          63.06   Baylor          149.82   Baylor          +23.71
West Virginia   77.40   Texas Tech      63.40   West Virginia   149.40   Texas Tech      +10.15
Oklahoma        75.94   Kansas          68.19   Oklahoma State  147.00   Oklahoma         +7.22
Oklahoma State  75.63   Texas           68.39   Oklahoma        144.67   Texas            +6.17
Texas           74.56   Oklahoma        68.72   Iowa State      144.38   Kansas           +5.57
Kansas          73.76   Oklahoma State  71.37   Texas           142.94   West Virginia    +5.40
Texas Tech      73.55   TCU             71.68   Kansas          141.95   Oklahoma State   +4.26
TCU             68.53   West Virginia   72.00   TCU             140.21   TCU              -3.16
Iowa State      66.38   Kansas State    74.05   Texas Tech      136.95   Iowa State      -11.62
Kansas State    62.00   Iowa State      78.00   Kansas State    136.05   Kansas State    -12.05

Schedule Strength
---------------------------
Iowa State      82.97 (  8)
Kansas          82.20 ( 12)
West Virginia   81.75 ( 17)
Oklahoma        81.00 ( 26)
Kansas State    80.88 ( 27)
Texas           80.50 ( 34)
Oklahoma State  79.96 ( 36)
TCU             79.01 ( 50)
Texas Tech      77.72 ( 69)
Baylor          76.30 ( 87)
The following user(s) said Thank You: porthawk, newtonhawk

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