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latest Big 12 projection

  • asteroid
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3 years 9 months ago #26300 by asteroid
                      Jan2    Jan9    Jan16   Jan24   Jan30   Feb7 
Pred                  Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Conf                          
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins    Wins    Wins    Wins    Wins    Wins   Record  Next Game   Prediction 
----  -------------- ------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ---------   -----------
#  1  Baylor          14.6    15.4    16.0    16.5    16.5    16.8     9  0  @OU  (We)   postponed  
# 20  Oklahoma         8.9     9.6     9.9    10.7    11.4    11.1     7  4   BU  (We)   postponed  
# 18  West Virginia   10.7    10.7     9.7    10.0    10.4    11.1     6  3  @TTU (Tu)              
# 13  Texas Tech      11.1    10.1    11.1    11.1    10.6    11.1     6  4   WVU (Tu)   TTU by  2.9
# 16  Kansas          13.2    12.2    11.8    11.0    11.1    10.6     6  5   OSU (Mo)   KU  by  5.3
# 23  Texas           10.4    11.7    11.8    11.8    11.1    10.2     5  4  @KSU (Tu)   UT  by 12.8
# 41  Oklahoma State   6.8     7.5     8.5     8.1     8.6     8.6     5  5  @KU  (Mo)              
# 82  TCU              6.4     6.3     5.6     5.6     5.5     6.4     3  5   ISU (Tu)   TCU by  5.9
#129  Iowa State       3.7     3.4     3.0     3.0     2.7     2.2     0  8  @TCU (Tu)              
#164  Kansas State     4.2     3.1     2.6     2.2     2.1     1.9     1 10   UT  (Tu)              

Road wins (25 out of 48)                  Home losses                           Differential (RW-HL)
----------------------------------------  ------------------------------------  --------------------
6 Baylor         KSU ISU TCU TTU OSU UT   0 Baylor                              +6 Baylor        
4 Texas Tech     OU  ISU UT  KSU          1 Kansas         UT                   +2 West Virginia 
3 Oklahoma State TTU KSU ISU              1 Oklahoma       TTU                  +1 Kansas        
3 West Virginia  OSU KSU ISU              1 West Virginia  UT                   +1 Oklahoma      
2 Kansas         TTU TCU                  3 Oklahoma State TCU WVU BU           +1 Texas Tech    
2 Oklahoma       TCU UT                   3 TCU            OU  KU  BU            0 Oklahoma State
2 TCU            OSU KSU                  3 Texas          TT  OU  BU           -1 TCU           
2 Texas          KU  WVU                  3 Texas Tech     KU  OSU BU           -1 Texas         
1 Kansas State   ISU                      5 Iowa State     KSU BU  TTU OSU WVU  -4 Kansas State  
0 Iowa State                              5 Kansas State   BU  TCU OSU WVU TTU  -5 Iowa State    

Performance (points)     Inconsistency (points)
---------------------    ----------------------
Baylor          +4.70    West Virginia     6.54
Texas           +1.94    Oklahoma State    7.16
Oklahoma        +1.48    Baylor            7.90
Oklahoma State  +0.92    Texas Tech        8.31
Texas Tech      +0.89    Kansas State      8.36
West Virginia    0.00    TCU              10.52
Kansas          -1.16    Texas            10.59
TCU             -2.38    Oklahoma         10.99
Kansas State    -3.12    Kansas           12.00
Iowa State      -4.57    Iowa State       12.10

Trend (points per game)           Mental toughness
------------------------------    ------------------------------
Oklahoma State  +0.50 +/- 0.34    Oklahoma State  +0.28 +/- 0.21
Oklahoma        +0.22 +/- 0.56    Iowa State      +0.18 +/- 0.28
Iowa State      +0.02 +/- 0.94    Texas           +0.06 +/- 0.31
West Virginia   -0.06 +/- 0.31    Baylor          +0.01 +/- 0.17
Baylor          -0.13 +/- 0.40    TCU             -0.05 +/- 0.26
Kansas State    -0.26 +/- 0.35    West Virginia   -0.10 +/- 0.25
TCU             -0.30 +/- 0.53    Oklahoma        -0.18 +/- 0.25
Kansas          -0.32 +/- 0.56    Texas Tech      -0.18 +/- 0.15
Texas Tech      -0.32 +/- 0.35    Kansas State    -0.24 +/- 0.17
Texas           -0.95 +/- 0.54    Kansas          -0.41 +/- 0.29

Average offense (pts)   Average defense (pts)   Total Points             Scoring Margin (pts)  
---------------------   ---------------------   ----------------------   ----------------------
Baylor          86.76   Texas Tech      62.32   Baylor          149.82   Baylor          +23.71
Oklahoma State  76.71   Baylor          63.06   Oklahoma State  148.35   Texas Tech      +11.47
West Virginia   76.44   Oklahoma        67.59   West Virginia   147.44   Oklahoma         +7.35
Oklahoma        74.94   Texas           68.69   Iowa State      144.62   Texas            +5.81
Texas           74.50   Kansas          69.44   Texas           143.19   West Virginia    +5.44
Texas Tech      73.79   West Virginia   71.00   Oklahoma        142.53   Oklahoma State   +5.06
Kansas          72.89   TCU             71.53   Kansas          142.33   Kansas           +3.44
TCU             68.71   Oklahoma State  71.65   TCU             140.24   TCU              -2.82
Iowa State      66.92   Kansas State    74.11   Texas Tech      136.11   Iowa State      -10.77
Kansas State    61.32   Iowa State      77.69   Kansas State    135.42   Kansas State    -12.79

Schedule Strength
---------------------------
Kansas          83.26 (  4)
Iowa State      82.35 ( 12)
Texas           81.39 ( 18)
West Virginia   80.99 ( 23)
Kansas State    80.30 ( 30)
Oklahoma        80.20 ( 32)
Oklahoma State  79.98 ( 35)
TCU             78.84 ( 50)
Texas Tech      76.78 ( 79)
Baylor          76.37 ( 84)
The following user(s) said Thank You: wardhawk, Socalhawk, jaythawk1

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