Projections for K-State Game

K-State is not good this season. In fact, in my DPPI, they are the lowest rated of all 76 pPower 6 conference teams at 215. Sadly, the Big 12 has the 2 worst teams in Power 6 play with K-State (215) and Iowa St. (196). KU should have a fairly easy path to victory, but this team has shown an ability to lower to the occasion. I think we will see a solid performance even with an 80% empty Allen Fieldhouse. Lets look at the line

K-State
Overall Rank: 215
Power Rank: 207
Performance Rank: 221
Offense Rank: 208
Defense Rank: 207
SOS Rank: 29
Consistency Rank: 112
Record: 5-13
Average Score: 62.7
Average Opponent Score: 73.3
Average Possessions: 68.7
Long-Term Trend: -1.5
Short-term Trend: -6.4

KU
Overall Rank: 41
Power Rank: 47
Performance Rank: 36
Offense Rank: 70
Defense Rank: 22
SOS Rank: 5
Consistency Rank: 168
Record: 11-6
Average Score: 72.6
Average Opponent Score: 69.1
Average Possessions: 71.2
Long-Term Trend: 3.2
Short-term Trend: -3.7

KU projected score: 79.2
KSU projected score: 59.0
Projected margin: 20.2
KU probability of win: 97.3%

As inconsistent as KU has been this season, they have only played 20 or more points below expectation once, against Texas where they played 24.8 points below expectation. This team is not as good as they looked when beating West Virginia and Texas Tech and not as bad as they have looked the last 4 games. They certainly have the potential to do some nice things. Let's start tomorrow against K-State.