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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
latest Big 12 projection
- asteroid
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3 years 9 months ago #26244
by asteroid
Jan2 Jan9 Jan16 Jan24 Curr.
Pred Proj. Proj. Proj. Proj. Proj. Conf
Rank Big XII Team Wins Wins Wins Wins Wins Record Next Game Prediction
---- -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ --------- -----------
# 1 Baylor 14.6 15.4 16.0 16.5 16.5 8 0 @UT (Tu) BU by 6.1
# 20 Oklahoma 8.9 9.6 9.9 10.7 11.4 6 3 @TTU (Mo)
# 17 Texas 10.4 11.7 11.8 11.8 11.1 5 2 BU (Tu)
# 11 Kansas 13.2 12.2 11.8 11.0 11.1 5 4 KSU (Tu) KU by 17.7
# 13 Texas Tech 11.1 10.1 11.1 11.1 10.6 4 4 OU (Mo) TT by 3.4
# 18 West Virginia 10.7 10.7 9.7 10.0 10.4 4 3 @ISU (Tu) WVU by 9.3
# 49 Oklahoma State 6.8 7.5 8.5 8.1 8.6 4 4 @TCU (We) OSU by 3.4
# 90 TCU 6.4 6.3 5.6 5.6 5.5 2 5 OSU (We)
#102 Iowa State 3.7 3.4 3.0 3.0 2.7 0 6 WVU (Tu)
#145 Kansas State 4.2 3.1 2.6 2.2 2.1 1 8 @KU (Tu)
Road wins (22 out of 39) Home losses Differential (RW-HL)
------------------------------------ -------------------------------- --------------------
5 Baylor KSU ISU TCU TTU OSU 0 Baylor +5 Baylor
3 Oklahoma State TTU KSU ISU 1 Kansas UT +1 Kansas
3 Texas Tech OU ISU UT 1 Oklahoma TTU +1 Oklahoma
2 Kansas TTU TCU 1 West Virginia UT +1 West Virginia
2 Oklahoma TCU UT 2 Texas TT OU 0 Oklahoma State
2 TCU OSU KSU 3 Oklahoma State TCU WVU BU 0 Texas
2 Texas KU WVU 3 TCU OU KU BU 0 Texas Tech
2 West Virginia OSU KSU 3 Texas Tech KU OSU BU -1 TCU
1 Kansas State ISU 4 Iowa State KSU BU TTU OSU -3 Kansas State
0 Iowa State 4 Kansas State BU TCU OSU WVU -4 Iowa State
Performance (points) Inconsistency (points)
--------------------- ----------------------
Baylor +4.96 West Virginia 6.05
Texas +2.85 Oklahoma State 7.49
Oklahoma +1.93 Baylor 7.92
Oklahoma State +1.31 Kansas State 8.81
Texas Tech +1.09 Texas Tech 8.82
West Virginia -0.28 TCU 10.54
Kansas -1.75 Texas 10.57
TCU -2.39 Oklahoma 11.44
Kansas State -3.98 Kansas 12.45
Iowa State -7.47 Iowa State 12.52
Trend (points per game) Mental toughness
------------------------------ ------------------------------
Oklahoma State +0.74 +/- 0.42 Oklahoma State +0.30 +/- 0.21
Oklahoma +0.73 +/- 0.68 Texas +0.26 +/- 0.34
West Virginia -0.18 +/- 0.34 Iowa State +0.14 +/- 0.29
Baylor -0.21 +/- 0.44 Baylor -0.04 +/- 0.18
Texas Tech -0.35 +/- 0.44 TCU -0.05 +/- 0.26
Kansas -0.38 +/- 0.69 Texas Tech -0.17 +/- 0.17
Kansas State -0.51 +/- 0.43 Oklahoma -0.21 +/- 0.27
TCU -0.58 +/- 0.57 West Virginia -0.22 +/- 0.23
Texas -0.67 +/- 0.70 Kansas State -0.28 +/- 0.19
Iowa State -1.35 +/- 1.18 Kansas -0.38 +/- 0.33
Average offense (pts) Average defense (pts) Total Points Scoring Margin (pts)
--------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------------------
Baylor 86.88 Baylor 62.81 Baylor 149.69 Baylor +24.06
Oklahoma State 76.73 Texas Tech 62.94 Oklahoma State 148.07 Texas Tech +11.88
Oklahoma 76.20 Texas 67.21 West Virginia 146.00 Texas +8.21
West Virginia 75.56 Oklahoma 68.00 Oklahoma 144.20 Oklahoma +8.20
Texas 75.43 Kansas 69.25 Iowa State 143.73 Oklahoma State +5.40
Texas Tech 74.82 West Virginia 70.44 Texas 142.64 West Virginia +5.12
Kansas 72.44 TCU 71.00 Kansas 141.69 Kansas +3.19
TCU 68.06 Oklahoma State 71.33 TCU 139.06 TCU -2.94
Iowa State 66.00 Kansas State 74.18 Texas Tech 137.76 Iowa State -11.73
Kansas State 61.88 Iowa State 77.73 Kansas State 136.06 Kansas State -12.29
Schedule Strength
---------------------------
Kansas 83.87 ( 3)
Iowa State 81.17 ( 18)
West Virginia 81.16 ( 19)
Texas 80.23 ( 29)
Oklahoma 80.14 ( 31)
Oklahoma State 79.50 ( 38)
Kansas State 79.29 ( 46)
TCU 78.90 ( 51)
Texas Tech 76.65 ( 74)
Baylor 75.80 ( 90)
The following user(s) said Thank You: hairyhawk, JayhawkChef, Socalhawk, porthawk
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- CorpusJayhawk
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3 years 9 months ago #26250
by CorpusJayhawk
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
Here is the Big 12 Projection from the DPPI.
1. Baylor leads with 8 victories.
2. For all intents and purposes, the Big 12 race is over. At least for 1st place. It is a very exciting race for 2nd with 6 teams all with potential to win.
Or if you prefer a graphical view.
You can see there are really 5 tiers of teams in the Big 12. Baylor all by itself. Then OU, Texas, WVU, Kansas, Texas Tech and OSU all within striking distance. TCU all by itself in 8th. Iowa St. and K-State vying for the cellar.
These are some interesting graphs. The first is a well a team has done compared to the DPPI projection in Big 12 play. You can see that Kansas has won almost 1 game more than the DPPI projected. That is the good news. The bad news is Kansas currently ranks 41st in the DPPI.
The 2nd graph is simply a comparison to the current projection of Big 12 wins to the projection at the start of Big 12 play. This is a direct measure of team improvement. You can see that KU has improved from 9.4 projected victories at the start of conference play to the current 10.7 victories. Again, that is more of a statement of how poorly KU was ranked at the beginning of Big 12 play. FWIW, in Massey;s current composite of computer rankings, KU is 20th.
FWIW, this is a sampling of the data and analysis that is on my website at DPPI Website
1. Baylor leads with 8 victories.
2. For all intents and purposes, the Big 12 race is over. At least for 1st place. It is a very exciting race for 2nd with 6 teams all with potential to win.
Or if you prefer a graphical view.
You can see there are really 5 tiers of teams in the Big 12. Baylor all by itself. Then OU, Texas, WVU, Kansas, Texas Tech and OSU all within striking distance. TCU all by itself in 8th. Iowa St. and K-State vying for the cellar.
These are some interesting graphs. The first is a well a team has done compared to the DPPI projection in Big 12 play. You can see that Kansas has won almost 1 game more than the DPPI projected. That is the good news. The bad news is Kansas currently ranks 41st in the DPPI.
The 2nd graph is simply a comparison to the current projection of Big 12 wins to the projection at the start of Big 12 play. This is a direct measure of team improvement. You can see that KU has improved from 9.4 projected victories at the start of conference play to the current 10.7 victories. Again, that is more of a statement of how poorly KU was ranked at the beginning of Big 12 play. FWIW, in Massey;s current composite of computer rankings, KU is 20th.
FWIW, this is a sampling of the data and analysis that is on my website at DPPI Website
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
The following user(s) said Thank You: Socalhawk
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