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latest Big 12 projection

  • asteroid
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3 years 10 months ago #26191 by asteroid
                      Jan2    Jan9    Jan16   Curr.
Pred                  Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Proj.   Conf                          
Rank  Big XII Team    Wins    Wins    Wins    Wins   Record  Next Game   Prediction 
----  -------------- ------  ------  ------  ------  ------  ---------   -----------
#  1  Baylor          14.6    15.4    16.0    16.5     7  0   KSU (We)   BU  by 23.5
# 17  Texas           10.4    11.7    11.8    11.8     5  1   OU  (Tu)   UT  by  2.6
# 13  Texas Tech      11.1    10.1    11.1    11.1     4  3  @WVU (Mo)              
# 11  Kansas          13.2    12.2    11.8    11.0     4  4   TCU (Th)   KU  by 12.1
# 20  Oklahoma         8.9     9.6     9.9    10.7     5  3  @UT  (Tu)              
# 18  West Virginia   10.7    10.7     9.7    10.0     3  3   TTU (Mo)   WVU by  0.9
# 49  Oklahoma State   6.8     7.5     8.5     8.1     3  4  @ISU (Mo)   OSU by  4.4
# 90  TCU              6.4     6.3     5.6     5.6     2  4  @KU  (Th)              
#102  Iowa State       3.7     3.4     3.0     3.0     0  5   UT  (We)              
#145  Kansas State     4.2     3.1     2.6     2.2     1  7  @BU  (We)              

Road wins (20 out of 34)              Home losses                        Differential (RW-HL)
------------------------------------  ---------------------------------  --------------------
5 Baylor         KSU ISU TCU TTU OSU  0 Baylor                           +5 Baylor        
3 Texas Tech     OU  ISU UT           1 Kansas         UT                +1 Kansas        
2 Kansas         TTU TCU              1 Oklahoma       TTU               +1 Texas         
2 Oklahoma State TTU KSU              1 Texas          TT                +1 West Virginia 
2 TCU            OSU KSU              1 West Virginia  UT                 0 Oklahoma      
2 Texas          KU  WVU              3 Iowa State     KSU BU  TTU        0 Texas Tech    
2 West Virginia  OSU KSU              3 Oklahoma State TCU WVU BU        -1 Oklahoma State
1 Kansas State   ISU                  3 TCU            OU  KU  BU        -1 TCU           
1 Oklahoma       TCU                  3 Texas Tech     KU  OSU BU        -3 Iowa State    
0 Iowa State                          4 Kansas State   BU  TCU OSU WVU   -3 Kansas State  

Performance (points)     Inconsistency (points)
---------------------    ----------------------
Baylor          +4.77    West Virginia     5.97
Texas           +3.35    Baylor            6.49
Oklahoma        +1.88    Oklahoma State    6.90
Texas Tech      +0.97    Kansas State      7.91
Oklahoma State  +0.77    Iowa State        9.20
West Virginia   +0.44    Texas Tech        9.59
Kansas          -0.82    Texas            10.94
TCU             -3.06    TCU              11.10
Kansas State    -3.24    Oklahoma         12.29
Iowa State      -4.72    Kansas           12.73

Trend (points per game)           Mental toughness
------------------------------    ------------------------------
Oklahoma        +1.00 +/- 0.90    Oklahoma State  +0.31 +/- 0.20
Iowa State      +0.72 +/- 1.24    Texas           +0.31 +/- 0.35
Oklahoma State  +0.42 +/- 0.52    Iowa State      +0.18 +/- 0.21
West Virginia   +0.04 +/- 0.41    Baylor          +0.02 +/- 0.15
Kansas          -0.01 +/- 0.88    Kansas State    -0.14 +/- 0.20
Kansas State    -0.13 +/- 0.49    TCU             -0.14 +/- 0.29
Texas Tech      -0.52 +/- 0.58    Texas Tech      -0.20 +/- 0.19
Texas           -0.57 +/- 0.83    West Virginia   -0.27 +/- 0.25
Baylor          -0.68 +/- 0.40    Oklahoma        -0.24 +/- 0.30
TCU             -1.30 +/- 0.67    Kansas          -0.39 +/- 0.37

Average offense (pts)   Average defense (pts)   Total Points             Scoring Margin (pts)  
---------------------   ---------------------   ----------------------   ----------------------
Baylor          85.93   Texas Tech      61.00   Baylor          148.07   Baylor          +23.79
Oklahoma        76.69   Baylor          62.14   Oklahoma State  147.85   Texas Tech      +12.67
Oklahoma State  76.08   Texas           66.08   Oklahoma        144.38   Texas            +9.23
Texas           75.31   Oklahoma        67.69   Kansas          144.00   Oklahoma         +9.00
West Virginia   74.64   West Virginia   67.93   Iowa State      143.22   West Virginia    +6.71
Kansas          74.21   Kansas          69.79   West Virginia   142.57   Kansas           +4.43
Texas Tech      73.67   TCU             69.93   Texas           141.38   Oklahoma State   +4.31
Iowa State      67.78   Oklahoma State  71.77   TCU             136.79   TCU              -3.07
TCU             66.86   Kansas State    72.40   Texas Tech      134.67   Iowa State       -7.67
Kansas State    62.13   Iowa State      75.44   Kansas State    134.53   Kansas State    -10.27

Schedule Strength
---------------------------
Kansas          83.74 (  4)
Iowa State      80.85 ( 19)
West Virginia   80.70 ( 24)
Texas           79.97 ( 32)
Oklahoma State  79.96 ( 33)
Kansas State    78.80 ( 49)
Oklahoma        78.74 ( 50)
TCU             77.42 ( 59)
Baylor          76.59 ( 75)
Texas Tech      74.59 (108)
The following user(s) said Thank You: HawkErrant, porthawk

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