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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
latest Big 12 projection
- asteroid
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3 years 10 months ago #26152
by asteroid
Baylor has opened up a 4 game lead in the projected standings.
Jan2 Jan9 Curr.
Pred Proj. Proj. Proj. Conf
Rank Big XII Team Wins Wins Wins Record Next Game Prediction
---- -------------- ------ ------ ------ ------ --------- -----------
# 1 Baylor 14.6 15.4 16.0 5 0 KU (Mo) BU by 7.3
# 9 Kansas 13.2 12.2 11.8 4 2 @BU (Mo)
# 18 Texas 10.4 11.7 11.8 5 1 @ISU (We) UT by 8.2
# 12 Texas Tech 11.1 10.1 11.1 4 3 @TCU (We) TTU by 7.7
# 24 Oklahoma 8.9 9.6 9.9 3 3 KSU (Tu) OU by 13.4
# 20 West Virginia 10.7 10.7 9.7 2 3 OSU (Tu) WVU by 4.7
# 43 Oklahoma State 6.8 7.5 8.5 3 3 @WVU (Tu)
# 88 TCU 6.4 6.3 5.6 2 4 TTU (We)
#101 Iowa State 3.7 3.4 3.0 0 5 UT (We)
#131 Kansas State 4.2 3.1 2.6 1 5 @OU (Tu)
Road wins are still occurring more than half the time. Let's hope that trend
continues for the first Big Monday game of the season.
Road wins (18 out of 29) Home losses Differential (RW-HL)
---------------------------------------- ----------------------------------- --------------------
4 Baylor KSU ISU TCU TTU 0 Baylor +4 Baylor
3 Texas Tech OU ISU UT 1 Kansas UT +1 Kansas
2 Kansas TTU TCU 1 Oklahoma TTU +1 Texas
2 Oklahoma State TTU KSU 1 Texas TT 0 Oklahoma
2 TCU OSU KSU 1 West Virginia UT 0 Oklahoma State
2 Texas KU WVU 2 Oklahoma State TCU WVU 0 Texas Tech
1 Kansas State ISU 3 Iowa State KSU BU TTU 0 West Virginia
1 Oklahoma TCU 3 Kansas State BU TCU OSU -1 TCU
1 West Virginia OSU 3 TCU OU KU BU -2 Kansas State
0 Iowa State 3 Texas Tech KU OSU BU -3 Iowa State
Kansas is still the most inconsistent team in the Big 12.
Performance (points) Inconsistency (points)
--------------------- ----------------------
Baylor +5.45 West Virginia 5.46
Texas +3.42 Oklahoma State 7.16
Oklahoma +1.12 Baylor 7.20
Oklahoma State +0.95 Kansas State 7.92
Texas Tech +0.95 Iowa State 8.77
West Virginia 0.00 Texas Tech 9.28
Kansas -0.73 Texas 10.80
TCU -3.23 TCU 11.41
Kansas State -3.32 Oklahoma 13.01
Iowa State -4.74 Kansas 13.79
Oklahoma's lopsided win over TCU has put those two teams at the top and bottom
of the trend statistic.
Trend (points per game) Mental toughness
------------------------------ ------------------------------
Oklahoma +0.89 +/- 1.27 Oklahoma State +0.50 +/- 0.19
Oklahoma State +0.87 +/- 0.56 Texas +0.28 +/- 0.36
Iowa State +0.61 +/- 1.19 Iowa State +0.15 +/- 0.21
Kansas State +0.34 +/- 0.60 Baylor +0.06 +/- 0.18
Kansas +0.29 +/- 1.21 Kansas State -0.08 +/- 0.22
West Virginia -0.28 +/- 0.41 TCU -0.11 +/- 0.30
Texas Tech -0.46 +/- 0.56 West Virginia -0.18 +/- 0.23
Texas -0.51 +/- 0.82 Texas Tech -0.22 +/- 0.19
Baylor -0.90 +/- 0.56 Oklahoma -0.27 +/- 0.32
TCU -1.32 +/- 0.69 Kansas -0.49 +/- 0.46
Tougher competition has brought Baylor's scoring average under 90.
Average offense (pts) Average defense (pts) Total Points Scoring Margin (pts)
--------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ----------------------
Baylor 87.08 Texas Tech 61.00 Baylor 148.33 Baylor +25.83
Oklahoma 77.27 Baylor 61.25 Oklahoma State 147.92 Texas Tech +12.67
Oklahoma State 77.08 Texas 66.08 Oklahoma 146.18 Texas +9.23
Texas 75.31 Oklahoma 68.91 West Virginia 144.62 Oklahoma +8.36
West Virginia 74.92 Kansas 69.08 Kansas 143.92 Oklahoma State +6.25
Kansas 74.83 West Virginia 69.69 Iowa State 143.22 Kansas +5.75
Texas Tech 73.67 TCU 69.93 Texas 141.38 West Virginia +5.23
Iowa State 67.78 Oklahoma State 70.83 TCU 136.79 TCU -3.07
TCU 66.86 Kansas State 72.38 Kansas State 136.62 Iowa State -7.67
Kansas State 64.23 Iowa State 75.44 Texas Tech 134.67 Kansas State -8.15
Baylor now has the weakest schedule in the conference, though that's not their
fault; virus protocol postponed games against Gonzaga, Texas, and West Virginia.
Texas Tech jumped over 150 spots after playing Texas and Baylor.
Kansas' strength of schedule will climb after playing Baylor in Waco
and cement the position at the top of the conference.
Schedule Strength
---------------------------
Kansas 82.21 ( 7)
West Virginia 81.12 ( 17)
Iowa State 80.99 ( 19)
Texas 80.05 ( 30)
Oklahoma State 79.18 ( 35)
Oklahoma 78.70 ( 47)
TCU 77.62 ( 59)
Kansas State 77.50 ( 60)
Texas Tech 74.73 (102)
Baylor 74.43 (116)
The following user(s) said Thank You: sasnak, Socalhawk, porthawk, DocBlues
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