Catching Kentucky

KU began the season 18 games behind Kentucky for all-time wins. This far this season we have won 8 to their 1m thus gaining 7 games on them leaving them still ahead by 11. My DPPI projects we will win 10 of our remaining 17 games and Kentucky will win 5 of their remaining 18 games (or 19 if they make up the South Carolina game. If that comes to pass we will finish the regular season 6 games behind them. I project they will not win any post season games and Kansas is likely to win 1 Big 12 tourney game. Kentucky will certainly not make any post-season tourney with that record so KU will have the NCAA to pick up the remaining 4 games. The currently probability is that Kansas will will 1 game in the NCAA ( i know, I know, a lot can and will change between now and then) so based on the current state of the DPPI, KU will likely finish the season 3 game behind Kentucky. If we end up only 3 behind Kentucky after this season I will take that in a heartbeat. I think Kansas will do better than I have projected and I think Kentucky will as well. Kansas currently has a ridiculous positive trend. We have been a different team the last 3 games. But Kentucky is also likely to improve significantly. I do think we will end up under 10 games behind them when the season is over. This is the season we needed. We had been steadily gaining on them through Self's first 10 years but in the last 5 years we have lost 2 games to them.

I think you need to have a look at your all-time win stats. I've checked mine (which I've been keeping since the 2000-2001 season) with HawkErrant's and we are in agreement: KU entered this season 16 wins behind Kentucky. We have picked up 7 games on them (8 wins to 1), so, at this moment, we are 9 games behind them. I don't have a DPPI or a crystal ball, so I don't know what this will look like at the end of the season, but catching them this year is a possibility, imo.

I don't keep the all time wins data, i just refer to the pinned thread HawkErrant keeps up so well. My error was looking at his data at the end of last year, subtracting 2318 minus 2302 and magically getting 18 instead of 16. Good catch. As for Kentucky gaining 2 games on KU gaining 2 games in the last 5 years, that is a typo, that was supposed to be last 6 years. My post was more focusing on my DPPI projections but that is no excuse for not being abkle ti subtract 2302 from 2318 correctly. My main point that was lost in the confiusion with y incoorect numbers was that we are very likely, based on my DPPI to continue gaining on them this year and get under 10 games back and likely well under 10 games back.