8 years 2 weeks ago #9127
by asteroid
It's November, and the asteroid is back at perihelion!
The Sagarin starting ratings are out, and here is the season projection
based on those ratings. The projection is as reliable as the starting
ratings, which means not very. They are heavily biased by last season,
and won't be unbiased by last season until sometime around mid December.
Also note that only one of George Washington and Georgia will be a real
opponent. We won't know which one until the first round games of the CBE
are played. The Jayhawks are favored in 28 of 31 games, with the
cumulative number of wins right around 25. The consecutive road games
with West Virginia and Kentucky will be the roughest stretch for Kansas,
and the other game in which the Jayhawks aren't favored is the Champions
Classic tilt with top-ranked Duke. Kansas is favored by only 5 points
against Indiana in the Armed Forces Classic (and I have a ticket to that
game - yay!).
SITE OPPONENT SCORE PREDIC ERROR PROB.
---- ----------------------------- ------- ------ ----- -----
NEUT # 14 Indiana +4.86 0.671
NEUT # 1 Duke -0.94 0.466
HOME #139 Siena +23.21 0.983
HOME # 84 UAB +18.82 0.956
HOME # 86 George Washington +18.83 0.957
HOME # 40 Georgia +12.81 0.878
HOME #204 NC Asheville +26.70 0.992
HOME # 76 Long Beach State +17.73 0.946
HOME # 77 Stanford +17.74 0.947
HOME #292 Kansas City(UMKC) +32.07 0.998
HOME #111 Nebraska +20.72 0.970
HOME # 71 Davidson +16.88 0.938
AWAY #134 UNLV +16.19 0.929
AWAY #103 TCU +13.62 0.892
HOME # 64 Kansas State +16.01 0.927
HOME # 54 Texas Tech +15.03 0.914
AWAY # 25 Oklahoma +4.25 0.650
HOME # 50 Oklahoma State +14.29 0.903
AWAY # 20 Iowa State +2.63 0.594
HOME # 18 Texas +8.69 0.785
AWAY # 8 West Virginia -0.04 0.499
AWAY # 6 Kentucky -1.12 0.459
HOME # 23 Baylor +10.22 0.824
HOME # 20 Iowa State +9.07 0.795
AWAY # 64 Kansas State +9.57 0.808
AWAY # 54 Texas Tech +8.59 0.783
HOME # 8 West Virginia +6.40 0.720
AWAY # 23 Baylor +3.78 0.634
HOME #103 TCU +20.06 0.966
AWAY # 18 Texas +2.25 0.581
HOME # 25 Oklahoma +10.69 0.834
AWAY # 50 Oklahoma State +7.85 0.762
The following user(s) said Thank You: sasnak, hairyhawk, Bayhawk, JayhawkChef, NotOstertag, texkan, Freestate69, newtonhawk
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... Tough start to the season, got to play stronger on the boards. We'll see how they play Tuesday, but 0-2 is looming. Hope the boys can gain a split.