UNC is a 6.6 point favorite. UNC is playing 6.8 above expectations while Notre Dame is 1.2 above. That adjusts the projection to UNC as a 12.4 point favorite.
Virginia is a 7.3 point favorite. But Syracuse has been playing 11.8 points above expectations while Virginia is 5.1 above expectations. That would make Virginia a 0.6 point favorite or a very close game.
Oregon is actually a 0.6 point underdog to Oklahoma. Oregon has been playing 8.6 points above expectation while OU has been playing 3.5 above. That would adjust the expectation to Oregon by 4.5 points.
Kansas is a 3.3 point favorite. But Villanova has played an amazing 14.7 above expectation in the 1st three games while KU has played only 3.3 points above expectation. That would make KU an 8.1 point underdog. Let's hope all this trendology is just crap.
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!