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Probability in the Elite 8

  • CorpusJayhawk
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8 years 8 months ago #7122 by CorpusJayhawk
Okay, UNC hasn't officially beat Indiana yet but with 10 minutes to go and up by 20 I'm going out on a limb. So assuming UNC wins, here are the probabilities for the Elite 8 teams. KU has the toughest game of the 1 seeds in the Elite 8. We have a 59% probability of beating Villanova and going to the Final Four. Oklahoma is actually favored over Oregon by 50.4% probability of winning. All of the other 1 seeds are favored to win. Obviously Virginia plays against a 10 seed (Syracuse) and UNC plays a 6 seed (Notre Dame). One thing that makes me want to puke is that 4 of the 8 Elite 8 teams are ACC.


Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!

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8 years 8 months ago #7123 by LKF_HAWK
And it ACC is guaranteed a NC game appearance

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8 years 8 months ago #7130 by CorpusJayhawk
Yes. The entire right side of the bracket is ACC. The entire left side is non-ACC. So ACC will absolutely have 2 teams in the final 4 and 1 in the National Championship. But they will definitely have only 2 in the FInal Four and only 1 in the NC game. The Big 12 could also have 2 Final Four teams.

Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!

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8 years 8 months ago #7135 by JRhawk
Two Big 12 teams in FF would be sweet. Won't talk about the other side of the bracket - too sickening.

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8 years 7 months ago #7148 by konza63
I have KU vs. UVA in the NC game, and that is both my "heart" and "head" choice. I hate UNC and Syracuse, and never liked Notre Dame in any sport. Plus I live in Virginia, and I truly think UVA is the 2nd best team in the land. It would be one hell of a game for all the marbles.

Here's to that scenario unfolding...

ROCK CHALK!!!

“With kindest regards to Dr. Forrest C. Allen, the father of basketball coaching, from the father of the game.”

1936 inscription on the portrait of Dr. Naismith, displayed above Phog Allen's office desk at KU.

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8 years 7 months ago #7154 by HawkErrant
KU v UVa

I would be much happier with that title game than one where KU has to face Roy again.

Although Roy is 0-3 against Bill since they changed jobs in 2003, there is always the chance that Paige comes out on fire again as he did against IU. Disrupt Paige and the tarred ones are much less formidable.

I would be more content with Notre Dame (over the tarred ones) facing UVa in the NSF, with UVa moving on to face KU in the NC.

Here's to my personal best of remaining possible FFs, KU v OU and UVa v ND :sick: .

(Although I sorta kinda hate to write this, I would not object to KU defeating Syracuse for all the marbles. My personal angst would be off the scales until the game was secure in KU's favor, but that would be oh, so sweet!)

NOW ENOUGH OF THIS FUTURE TALK!!!

TODAY IS VILLANOVA!

You know how to flay some Wildcats, you KU Raptors, you!
(see KState and Kenyucky this year; those two and Davidson and AZ and even Nova in past years)
GET 'ER DONE!

ROCK CHALK! JAYHAWK! KU!

"Travel is fatal to prejudice, bigotry and narrow-mindedness, and many of our people need it sorely on these accounts. Broad, wholesome, charitable views of men and things cannot be acquired by vegetating in one little corner of the earth all one's lifetime." - Mark Twain "Innocents Abroad"

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8 years 7 months ago #7161 by JhawkMom
" would not object to KU defeating Syracuse for all the marbles"

I remember being at a championship game where we lost by 2 points at the buzzer because Syracuse blocked our sure fire 3 to win the game!!!!! Heart break.

think I will hope for VA or N.Dame

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