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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Seniority Scale
8 years 8 months ago #6915
by CorpusJayhawk
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
Okay, what is the seniority scale. It assigns a 1 for a frosh, a 2 for a soph, 3 for a junior and 4 for a senior. Then you weight the minutes played (in this case but you can use any stat) and average on the weight. Doing that for all years back to 1985 I have created the graph below plotting Seniority Scale versus wins in the tourney. The data markers are the year and the final poll rank prior to the tourney. Here are several observations. As you read these observations bear in mind, the 2016 Jayhawk team has a seniority scale of 2.89 on redshirt scale and 3.15 on actual experience (Jamari and Landen being 4 and 5 respectively)
1. We have never made a final four (8 since 1985) with a SS of less than 2.67 (average has been 3.08)
2. 2005 was the biggest KU flame out in the tourney. We took a No. 12 ranking into the tourney and lost to Bucknell in round 1 by a point (64-63). That was one of KU's more experienced teams. I can't recall the injury situation but that was a complete flame out considering the experience and talent and rank.
3. Only twice have we lost in the 1st round, 2005 and 2006. 2006 was the 2nd youngest team we have had.
4. Both National Championship teams were highly experienced (2.98 and 3.14).
5. This is only the third No. 1 ranked team KU has had in the tourney (remember I'm using AP polls). 1997 was an experienced team that lost to Arizona because of a crazy Arizona run and key injuries to KU. 2010 was a below average experienced team (2.42) that lost to UNI (that was a very frustrating loss)
6. There is a clear and distinct trend and correlation between experience and success in the tourney. If KU plays to skill they should win at least 5 games based on that trend.
7. 1990 was a pretty big flame out to UCLA also by a single point; 1998 was probably the third biggest flame out to those 2 pesky guards from Rhode Island.
8. We have never advanced to the Elite 8 with a SS of less than 2.70 (that is pretty significant)
All in all this Seniority Scale and KU's current team paints a picture of a deep tourney run.
1. We have never made a final four (8 since 1985) with a SS of less than 2.67 (average has been 3.08)
2. 2005 was the biggest KU flame out in the tourney. We took a No. 12 ranking into the tourney and lost to Bucknell in round 1 by a point (64-63). That was one of KU's more experienced teams. I can't recall the injury situation but that was a complete flame out considering the experience and talent and rank.
3. Only twice have we lost in the 1st round, 2005 and 2006. 2006 was the 2nd youngest team we have had.
4. Both National Championship teams were highly experienced (2.98 and 3.14).
5. This is only the third No. 1 ranked team KU has had in the tourney (remember I'm using AP polls). 1997 was an experienced team that lost to Arizona because of a crazy Arizona run and key injuries to KU. 2010 was a below average experienced team (2.42) that lost to UNI (that was a very frustrating loss)
6. There is a clear and distinct trend and correlation between experience and success in the tourney. If KU plays to skill they should win at least 5 games based on that trend.
7. 1990 was a pretty big flame out to UCLA also by a single point; 1998 was probably the third biggest flame out to those 2 pesky guards from Rhode Island.
8. We have never advanced to the Elite 8 with a SS of less than 2.70 (that is pretty significant)
All in all this Seniority Scale and KU's current team paints a picture of a deep tourney run.
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
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8 years 8 months ago #6917
by jayhawk969
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