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Rock Chalk Talk: Basketball
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Anything pertaining to basketball: college, pro, HS, recruiting, TV coverage
Updated Odds for Big 12 - Big Weekend
- CorpusJayhawk
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8 years 9 months ago #3808
by CorpusJayhawk
Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
-Projected Conference Wins-
Team Wins
----------- ------
West Virginia 13.2
Kansas 12.7
Oklahoma 12.3
Baylor 10.7
Iowa St. 10.2
Texas 9.7
Texas Tech 6.7
Kansas St. 6.6
Oklahoma St. 4.4
TCU 3.5 --Probability of Winning Big 12 Title--
Team Solo Shared
----------- ------ ------
West Virginia 35.4% 62.8%
Kansas 19.0% 42.7%
Oklahoma 11.3% 30.4%
Baylor 0.7% 4.1%
Iowa St. 0.1% 1.0%
Texas 0.1% 1.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0%
Kansas St. 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma St. 0.0% 0.0%
TCU 0.0% 0.0%--KU Schedule-Probability of Winning--
Opponent City Prob
----------- ----------- --------
Baylor Lawrence 100.0%
Oklahoma Lawrence 100.0%
Texas Tech Lubbock 100.0%
West Virginia Morgantown 0.0%
TCU Lawrence 100.0%
Oklahoma St. Stillwater 0.0%
Texas Lawrence 100.0%
Iowa St. Ames 0.0%
Kansas St. Lawrence 100.0%
TCU Fort Worth 100.0%
West Virginia Lawrence 100.0%
Oklahoma Norman 43.2%
Oklahoma St. Lawrence 89.2%
Kansas St. Manhattan 61.6%
Baylor Waco 53.2%
Texas Tech Lawrence 86.8%
Texas Austin 63.1%
Iowa St. Lawrence 74.7%Don't worry about the mules, just load the wagon!!
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- konza63
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8 years 9 months ago #3812
by konza63
“With kindest regards to Dr. Forrest C. Allen, the father of basketball coaching, from the father of the game.”
1936 inscription on the portrait of Dr. Naismith, displayed above Phog Allen's office desk at KU.
Thanks as always, Corpus.
RE the KU projected victory probabilities, my non-quantitative "gut" probabilities for on the road at KSU and UT would be notably lower than these. More like 53% for both of those venues. And I'd raise the Baylor probability at Waco to more like 58%. After OU, I think the Grapes and Horns in their arena are our toughest games--maybe ISU at Allen also, but they're faltering and we owe them for the thumping they put on is in Ames.
RE the KU projected victory probabilities, my non-quantitative "gut" probabilities for on the road at KSU and UT would be notably lower than these. More like 53% for both of those venues. And I'd raise the Baylor probability at Waco to more like 58%. After OU, I think the Grapes and Horns in their arena are our toughest games--maybe ISU at Allen also, but they're faltering and we owe them for the thumping they put on is in Ames.
“With kindest regards to Dr. Forrest C. Allen, the father of basketball coaching, from the father of the game.”
1936 inscription on the portrait of Dr. Naismith, displayed above Phog Allen's office desk at KU.
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- LasJayhawk
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8 years 9 months ago #3817
by LasJayhawk
Yea,yea,yea, keepin' the faith
Konza, with all due respect, the grapes play in AFHW.
Yea,yea,yea, keepin' the faith
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- konza63
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8 years 9 months ago #3821
by konza63
“With kindest regards to Dr. Forrest C. Allen, the father of basketball coaching, from the father of the game.”
1936 inscription on the portrait of Dr. Naismith, displayed above Phog Allen's office desk at KU.
I guess the losses there just stick with me. We've laid some real eggs there, and just seem to have problems imposing our will when in that venue.
Not only that, but they took WVU to double OT there before losing, then beat OU pulling away at the end. They despise KU with every fiber if their being, so I expect that one to be really tough. We SHOULD win, but then we always should...
Not only that, but they took WVU to double OT there before losing, then beat OU pulling away at the end. They despise KU with every fiber if their being, so I expect that one to be really tough. We SHOULD win, but then we always should...
“With kindest regards to Dr. Forrest C. Allen, the father of basketball coaching, from the father of the game.”
1936 inscription on the portrait of Dr. Naismith, displayed above Phog Allen's office desk at KU.
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